Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious Outperformance
Find Stocks Now

Dow Composite: The New Piranha

Published 03/20/2015, 12:37 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Well, the Dow Jones Composite has been the subject of my oft-cited Ichthus pattern (which at this point is resembling a piranha). I decided to update it somewhat to take into account recent price activity, and this is what I see:

Dow Composite Chart

The most fascinating thing to me is that blue line, which has been acting as a virtual mid-line to the pattern. What’s cool is that this isn’t a line I put into the pattern over its brief lifespan. The anchor point for this pattern is freakin’ May 1999. Price action seems to be dancing above and below this line, but the damned thing won’t break in either direction.

Indeed, the market as a whole hasn’t been able to make up its mind since QE ended. In spite of all the news events, currency wars, Fed jawboning, and other nonsense………we’ve been stuck basically since last Halloween!

You can read my mind, though. I’d love to see this break firmly to the downside. There’s nothing in the pattern to suggest a break in either direction, though. It’s just kind of…stuck. So my portfolio position is simple to explain: I am very long gold and the euro, and I’m short a bazillion lovingly-chosen U.S. stocks and ETFs. Let’s get this fish to stink up the place, eh, compadres?

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.