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Stocks Jump As Volatility Slumps Post FOMC

Published 12/16/2021, 12:49 AM
Updated 09/20/2023, 06:34 AM

Stocks rallied sharply following the Fed announcement on Wednesday, with the VIX collapsing after the event risk was removed. It was a mirror image of what we saw last Tuesday.

There was not much that was overly bullish from the Fed, raising their outlook for rates by 60 bps to 90 bps in 2022, while 2023 rose by 60 bps 1.3%. So, that was more hawkish than what Fed Fund Futures were pricing in, with December 2022 at 0.725 bps and 2023 at 1.4% as of today’s close. So the Fed was more hawkish than expected for 2022 and higher than where 2023 before the Fed when they were trading around 1.3%. VIX 1-Hour Chart

 

S&P 500 (SPY)

But the rally in stocks was purely driven by the move lower in the VIX, as implied volatility levels drop. We see this often these days. It left the S&P 500 (via SPY) trading where it left off on Friday, at 4709.84.

SPX Daily

NASDAQ (QQQ)

The Qs (NASDAQ:QQQ) rallied more but could not regain as much and remain below crucial resistance at $400.

QQQ 1-Hour Chart

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) is a stock that I own, so I am more than happy to see it rise. But the stock managed to retrace to resistance at $179.40. So we can see what happens there later today.

Latest comments

what's the future of trade if any time Fed has a meeting, the whole world trembles?
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