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Should You Play These Overvalued Sector ETFs?

Published 06/15/2016, 02:27 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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With the global market tottering on uncertainties over the Brexit referendum, speculation over the Fed’s future course of actions, Bank of Japan’s imminent policies to handle the faltering economy and prolonged Chinese economic issues, investors must be having a hawk’s eye on equity valuation.

This is because in volatile times like this, no one wants to pick a bad or overvalued bet which may crash as soon as bearish signs hit the shore of risk-on investments. People must be searching for quality or value stocks and ETFs that are likely to prove sturdier in tough times like this (read: High Quality Dividend Stocks & ETFs for Uncertain Markets).

Since the start of 2016, the market has been edgy on global growth concerns and oil price woes. While a slew of solid U.S. economic data gave some short-term respite to investors, surprisingly downbeat job data for the month of May took some shine out of the glorious U.S. economic picture.

If this was not enough, the latest polls showing higher chances of Britain exiting the European Union completely spoiled the market momentum compelling stocks to retreat. But investors should note that after so many hazards since the start of the year, the major indexes are still near their all-time highs and may tank if more downbeat developments crop up in the days to come.

Are All Overvalued Securities Worth a No?

Market crashes may spur quality and undervalued investing. But there are a few sectors which appear overvalued at the current level among the 16 sectors within the S&P 500, classified under the Zacks methodology, but still have a room to run (read: Market Fears Brexit: Volatility ETFs Take Full Advantage).

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Below we highlight those sectors and the related ETFs which may be played a little further.

Consumer Staples – Forward P/E 22.6 Current Year

The sector boasts a current year P/E of 22.6 and the next year P/E of 20.6 as per the Zacks Earnings Trends issued on May 25, 2016. This is way higher than the S&P 500 forward P/E of 18.2 for the current year and 16.1 for the next year.

The consumer staples sector has been an area to watch lately as markets are volatile leading investors to bet big on defensive sectors like consumer staples. The sector enjoys a few benefits at this moment. Greater spending power in the wake of improving wage growth as well as still-low energy prices is helping the consumer segment (read: Will Consumer Staples ETFs Continue to Shine in 2016?).

Moreover, the sector offers a decent dividend yield which is immensely needed in the present low-yield environment. As long as volatility levels rule the market, consumer staples is likely to outperform. So, investors can have a look at Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF VDC, Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples ETF (AX:RHS) and PowerShares DWA Consumer Staples Momentum Portfolio ETF (LON:PSL) for further gains.

Oil/ Energy

The oil/energy sector boasts a current year P/E of 98.1 and the next year P/E of 30.2. But since the sector has just taken off on an easing supply glut and a favorable demand-supply balance, it deserves investors’ attention for further gains. For this, investors may try iShares U.S. Energy ETF (NYSE:XLE) IYE, John Hancock Multifactor Energy ETF JHME and Vanguard Energy ETF VDE (read: Best Oil Rally in 7 Years; 3 Energy ETF Winners).

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Utilities

This sector has a current year P/E of 17.9 and the next year P/E of 17.1. Though the P/E is lower than that of the S&P 500 for the current year, it is above several other sectors.

Now, investors should note that utilities offer outsized payouts. Investors’ hunger for high yield securities in the current low yield environment should goad this sector further. Also, the utility sector is defensive in nature which is why it should come out as a winner in the market turmoil.

PowerShares S&P SmallCap Utilities Portfolio ETFPSCU, First Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund FXU and Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF (V:RYU) are some of the utility ETFs that can be exercised further.



GUGG-SP5 EW UTL (RYU): ETF Research Reports

GUGG-SP5 EW C S (RHS): ETF Research Reports

ISHARS-US EGY (IYE): ETF Research Reports

FT-UTIL ALPHA (FXU): ETF Research Reports

JH-M-F ENERGY (JHME): ETF Research Reports

VIPERS-CONS STA (VDC): ETF Research Reports

VIPERS-ENERGY (VDE): ETF Research Reports

PWRSH-SP SC UTL (PSCU): ETF Research Reports

PWRSH-DW CON ST (PSL): ETF Research Reports

Original post

Zacks Investment Research

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