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Quebec: September Rebound In Exports

Published 11/29/2012, 06:08 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
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FACTS:

The Institut de la statistique du Québec (ISQ) reports that Quebec’s trade deficit narrowed $762 million in September, to $1.76 billion, from the record gap of August. The value of exports rose $439 million (+9.2%; Canada +1.9%), led by aircraft and aircraft engines (+$394 million) and iron ore and concentrates (+$104 million). The value of imports fell $323 million (−4.4%; Canada 0.0%). Exceptionally, the ISQ was unable to publish constant-dollar data in today’s report.
Nominal trade balance
International merchandise exports
Nominal trade balance – quarterly
OPINION: Despite the September rebound (top chart), the value of Quebec’s international merchandise exports in Q3 was well below that of Q2 (middle chart). This poor showing extends the post-recession sluggishness of Que­bec exports. In Q3 they were only 1.9% above the level of Q4 2009, 11 quarters earlier, and accordingly far from the pre-recession peak. Over the same period, exports of the rest of Canada jumped 23.7% and, despite a retreat in 2012 to date, are now close to the 2007 average.

Que­bec’s lag in exports is the main reason for the lag of its economy relative to the rest of Canada since the reces­sion. September rebound notwithstanding, the nominal trade deficit widened in Q3, suggesting that international trade subtracted from economic growth for a third straight quarter.

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