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Pound Trading Higher, Ahead Of The BOE Interest Rate Decision

Published 03/17/2016, 05:55 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM

GBPUSD

GBPUSD Movement

For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, the GBP rose 0.64% against the USD and closed at 1.4248.

In economic news, UK’s ILO unemployment rate remained steady at a level of 5.1% in the November-January 2016 period, in line with market expectations. Further, employment advanced by 116.0K in the November-January 2016 period, compared to an increase of 205.0K in the October-December 2015 period. Market expectation was for employment to advance 144.0K. Meanwhile, in the November-January 2016 period, the average earnings excluding bonus registered a rise of 2.20% in the UK on a YoY basis, higher than market expectations for an advance of 2.10%. The average earnings excluding bonus had risen 2.00% in the October-December 2015 period.

Separately, the UK Chancellor, George Osborne, in his latest budget report indicated a bleak outlook for the British economy. According to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the estimate for economic growth in 2017 was slashed to 2.2% from 2.5%, and to 2.1% from 2.4% in 2018. Further, growth in both 2019 and 2020 is now estimated at 2.1% compared with the previous forecast of 2.3%.

In the Asian session, at GMT0400, the pair is trading at 1.426, with the GBP trading 0.08% higher from yesterday’s close.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.4111, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.3962. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.4351, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.4443.

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Going ahead, investors await the BoE interest rate decision, scheduled to be announced later today.

The currency pair is trading above its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.

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