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Natural Gas: Weekly Closing Likely to Make the Trend Clearer

Published 01/13/2023, 09:14 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Movements of the natural gas futures during this week indicate a thrust by the bulls and bears to keep the price trend in their favor, which was crystal clear with this week's candle.

Equal wicks on both sides of a small red body in this weekly candle have enhanced the importance of the weekly closing level on Friday.

Despite the double bottom formation, natural gas futures crossed Dec. 30, 2021 low at $3.536, and hit a low at 3.423 on Jan. 11, 2022, but remained above Jul. 2021 low at $3.393.

Technical Formations

Weekly Chart

Natural Gas Futures Weekly Chart

A steep fall in the prices during the last four weeks created uncertainty and increased the possibility of wild price swings during this week.

Despite a steep fall, initial signs of reversal are visible in the weekly chart as the body of this week's candle is still red and smaller but still holding because of significant support at 200 DMA, which is at $3.735.

If natural gas closes this week a little above the 200 DMA in today's trading session and the small red body of this candle turns into green could make the trend clearer.

And, despite the announcement of highly bearish inventory on Thursday, the prices are still reversing. This could make it likely for the small red body of the weekly candle to turn green before today's close.

Daily Chart

Natural Gas Futures Daily Chart

Since testing this week's low at $3.423 on Jan. 11, natural gas futures are trying to reverse on Friday after witnessing a wild swing on Thursday, indicating the presence of bulls at much lower levels.

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The first resistance will be at 9 DMA, which is at $3.802, and the second is at 18 DMA, which is at $4.315. This level could turn the bulls aggressive if the prices start the upcoming week above $4.112.

15-Minute Chart

Natural Gas Futures 15 Minutes Chart

Natural gas futures are currently sustaining above the 200 DMA along with 9 DMA and 18 DMA, indicating that another wild price swing is likely before today’s close.

Disclaimer: The author of this analysis does not have any position in Natural Gas futures. Readers are advised to take any position at their own risk, as Natural Gas is one of the most liquid commodities in the world.

Latest comments

short positions at 18 months high! cot shows that it likely a hedgefund (gone wild?) remember the short squeeze exactly one year ago.
ur never right. stop posting so nat gas will gonup please
He has been saying NG will reverse its trend since $5. But tbh what I want to point out is that 1) even professional analysts are having hard time predicting NG movements and 2)technical and fundamental tools are not working for NG right now. The more you try to analyze, the more your analysis will fail. Right now NG is no better than gambling.
a hedgefund gone wild? so short he has only the way all down?
The writer doesnt realize what people have to go through when they see NG bleed everyday and losing their life savings then he writes nonsense to create false hope in people. Its heading to below $3. His charts are totally useless. He needs to stop writing asap.
True
I do not understand what exactly you mean by wild price swing before today close?!!! Up or down?!
He does that all the time to coverr both sides of his ass
Latest 4 articles in past 4 days, all was Wrong! You beat blind Chinese fortune teller by miles !!! I wish there’s mute button on this website.
Natgas will go up only when you stop writing those articles!
Like I’ve often said youre doing phenomenal job here. It’s NOT EASY to be WRONG All The Time ! You’re the King of all wrong.Congrats!
with today's sharp fall, not sure how to interpret the above article. is it the same pattern, reversal hope in article for a falling knife.
perfect view
Total crap! Inventory was not bearish. It was within forecast! You should know better that the assessment of bearish vs bullish is based on actual vs forecast. Those fancy graphs mean nothing. You have been pathetically off on all your assessments and misleading people. For the last 4 weeks market has been consistently bearish yet you have been preaching reversals
Idio 🤡t shut the he ll up. Good work Singh
it’s not hate ! Easy to blame it on those 4 letter word. The guy is honest man, he is telling all the truth.
Why do you read or even follow his articles! There are many opinions on an investment from various analysts. They don’t expect you to agree with everyone of them!
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