Market Overview

U.S. job growth fell hard last month, the Labor Department reports. Private-sector payrolls increased by a thin 25,000 in May, the smallest monthly gain in five years. Even adding the estimated loss...

US stocks slightly rose on Thursday on strong US economic data and good performance of healthcare sector which offset losses in energy and tech sectors. The data showed the ADP employment change rose...

A reliable source for recession forecasting is the unemployment rate, which can provide signals for the beginnings and ends of recessions. The unemployment rate model (article link), updated with the...

Markets are currently too complacent about Brexit risks, in our view, albeit our base case is that the UK votes to stay in the EUThe Fed will be re-priced in the case of 'Bremain' - which together...

For more than 30 years, interest rates have been on a downward trend because of disinflation, the changing balance of savings and investment, and slower potential growth. Although ultra-loose monetary...

The heavy US data calendar continues with the highlight of the week being the labour market report for May. It could very well be pivotal to the market's pricing of a potential summer hike from the...

The FTSE is gathering positive momentum after having broken the 200-hour moving average on the upside at the open.All FTSE sectors started the day in the green in London. Basic materials and energy...

The U.S. Census Bureau reports that construction spending fell 1.8% in April compared to the previous month. It rose 4.5% compared to April 2015. Construction spending in the first four months of 2016...

Draghi steps up inflation and Brexit risksEurope is the focus throughout markets at the moment; focusing on what the European Central Bank can do to support growth and inflation and focusing on what...

Today is an important day with the NFP. While there obviously is an expectation for a specific number (164K this month), it is important also if the unemployment rate also drops to 4.9% as is...

Dollar regains some ground as markets turn their focus to employment data from US today. Non-farm payroll is expected to show 170k growth in May with unemployment rate unchanged at 5.0%. Wage growth...

Sound the alarm.Buy SGB1059 (Nov 2026) in an ASW or against a swap fly. To read the entire report Please click on the pdf File Below

The ECB kept all policy rates unchanged at today's meeting, which was in line with expectations. In the introductory statement, Mario Draghi repeated that the QE purchases are intended to run until...

The Federal Reserve is considering another rate hike, perhaps as early as this month, but the Treasury market’s estimate of future inflation signals skepticism from the vantage of government...