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Macy's, Wal-Mart, Children's Place, Gap And Foot Locker Are Part Of Zacks Earnings Preview

Published 05/21/2017, 09:30 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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For Immediate Release

Chicago, IL – May 22, 2017 – Zacks.com releases the list of companies likely to issue earnings surprises. This week’s list includes Macy’s (NYSE: M Free Report ), Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT Free Report ), Children’s Place (NASDAQ: PLCE Free Report ), Gap (NYSE: GPS Free Report ) and Foot Locker (NYSE:FL) (NYSE: FL Free Report ).

To see more earnings analysis, visit https://at.zacks.com/?id=3207.

Every day, Zacks.com makes their Bull Stock of the Day available, free of charge. To see it, click here .

Not Every Retailer Is Struggling This Earnings Season

It has been the accepted wisdom for a while that it is only a question of time before Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) mops up the traditional brick-and-mortar retailer’s every last sales dollar. I am obviously exaggerating here, but we have been seeing the ‘Amazon effect’ in a host of retail sub-industries in recent years.

Many have been thinking that what happened to Barnes & Noble (NYSE:BKS) and other booksellers is the fate of most traditional retailers; we certainly have seen the once-mighty operators like Macy’s (NYSE: M Free Report ) in the department store space and Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT Free Report ) in the big-box discounter industry humbled in recent years. You can see this in the stock market performance of these players – Amazon shares are up +37.7% in the past year while Macy’s is down -26.7% in that same time period.

Wal-Mart shares have done better – they are up +13% over the past year – largely because market participants have come around lately to see its digital strategy as credible. The retail giant has not only been steadily making investments in its online operations, but also strengthening its legacy through investments in employees and cleaner and more organized floor space. This has started showing up in Wal-Mart’s earnings results, as we saw in the company’s strong Q1 earnings report. But it’s safe to say that Wal-Mart still has a long way to go before it can effectively fend off the Amazon challenge.

One could argue that what has started working for Wal-Mart should work for Macy’s as well. But their brick-and-mortar commonality aside, they are fundamentally different businesses. Wal-Mart may bring in foot traffic through its enormous groceries business, but there is increasingly less reason for consumers to visit Macy’s, other department stores or even the malls. We are seeing this issue with a host of other mall-based retailers as well, which is giving rise to the ‘death of the mall’ narrative. We should be mindful, however, that as weak as the mall-based retail space has been lately, some of these mall-based players have been able to make it work.

Strong results from The Children’s Place (NASDAQ: PLCE Free Report ) and Gap (NYSE: GPS Free Report ) prove this point. But for every Children’s Place winner, you have a host of mall-based Foot Locker (NYSE: FL Free Report ) losers that are forced to blame everything – from delayed tax refunds and Easter Day placements to the weather – but their inability to respond to changing consumer behavior. On a related note, the Foot Locker disappointment may have read-throughs for other companies in the space.

Retail Sector Scorecard

As of Friday, May 19th, we now have Q1 results from 33 of the 42 retailers in the S&P 500 index. Total earnings for these 33 retailers are up +1.5% from the same period last year on +2.9% higher revenues, with 63.6% beating EPS estimates and 54.5% beating revenue estimates.

Please note that we have a stand-alone Retail sector, unlike the official Standard & Poor’s placement of this space in the Consumer Discretionary sector. The Zacks Retail sector includes, besides the traditional department stores and other brick-and-mortar retailers, the online vendors like Amazon and restaurant operators.

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Macy's Inc (NYSE:M): Free Stock Analysis Report

Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE:WMT): Free Stock Analysis Report

Children's Place, Inc. (The) (PLCE): Free Stock Analysis Report

Gap, Inc. (The) (GPS): Free Stock Analysis Report

Foot Locker, Inc. (FL): Free Stock Analysis Report

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