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Is The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index Signaling Trouble Ahead?

Published 08/05/2018, 12:18 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
SPY
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RSP
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In trading, all that matters is price. And I tend to use it to identify patterns that can help investors and traders. We can also use market ratios as a gauge of the stock market’s health.

Today, we’ll look at the Guggenheim Invest S&P 500 Equal Weight (NYSE:RSP) vs the SPDR S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY). In short, bulls want to see the ratio heading higher. This is not the case in the chart below.

We can see that the average stock (equal weight) is underperforming. This divergence has historically been a negative for stocks. Note the lack of a new ratio high in January when SPY was making new highs.

This week, the ratio is attempting to break below its 2016 lows (and in the process making a 6 year low). Keep an eye on this ratio, it could forebode another turn lower.

S&P 500 Equal Weight vs Cap-Weight Ratio

S&P 500 Equal Weight vs Cap-Weight Ratio

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