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Here's Why Falling Interest Rates Could Be Bad For Stocks

Published 03/01/2018, 02:18 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Below looks at the 2-, 5-, 10- and 30-year Treasury yields over the past 30 years. Yields remain inside of their respective 25 year falling channels. Rallies over the past couple of years find each testing the top of these falling channels.

2-, 5-, 10- And 30-Year Treasury Yields

When the tops of each falling channel were last touched in 2000 and 2007, yields declined and so did stocks.

Many have been concerned about rising rates. Should stock bulls now be concerned about rates falling at each (1)?

If they use these channels as guides, they should be.

Latest comments

Money moves from overpriced stocks to bonds, gold and safe haven currencies JPY!  And that's exactly what will happen.  We should see 2.5 on 10Y before 3.25, 3.5 and possibly up to 4%.  But way before that, watch out for yield inversion. 10-7 first, 10-2 next!
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