Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolio

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD Fails To Breakout Above The Resistance

Published 06/28/2019, 02:42 AM
Updated 07/14/2021, 10:35 AM
ETH/USD
-

The price of Ethereum has been gradually increasing since June 20, 2019. The increase intensified on June 26 and the ETH price briefly reached highs above $360.

Ethereum Price Market Outlook

A flash crash ensued and the Ethereum price made lows near $300 the next day.

Where will the price go next? Keep reading below in order to find out.

Ethereum Price: Trends and Highlights for June 27

  • The ETH price began a rapid decrease on June 26.
  • It failed to break out above the 0.236 fib level or the 100-week moving average.
  • It is possibly creating an evening star pattern.
  • It is following a short-term horizontal support line.
  • There is bearish divergence developing in the RSI and the MACD.

ETH Price in a Horizontal Channel

Since June 22, the Ethereum price has been trading inside a horizontal channel.

The increase on June 26 caused it to break out of the resistance line.

Ethereum Price Horizontal Channel

The ensuing decrease, however, caused the price to drop and once more validate the support line.

Therefore, while the resistance line has been broken, the support line is still intact.

Possible Evening Star for the Ethereum Price

The price of ETH on Bitfinex is analyzed at weekly intervals from November 2017 to June 2019

Since reaching a low of $83 in December 2018, the ETH price has been slowly increasing.

However, it has yet to retrace past the 0.236 fib level of the entire drop, which is at $380.
ETH/USD Weekly Chart

This level also coincides with the 100-week moving average (MA).

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Price briefly reached this level on June 26, before a swift reversal ensued.

With a closer look, it seems as if the ETH price is creating a bearish evening star pattern.

ETH/USD Evening Star

The candlestick for the week of June 17-24 was bullish. The current weekly candle is shaping to be a doji — either positive or negative. If next week’s candle is bearish engulfing, with a close below $260, it will complete the evening star reversal pattern.

Let’s take a look at some technical indicators and assess this possibility.

Possible Reversal

The price of ETH is analyzed at daily intervals alongside the RSI and the MACD (first graph) and the 10- and 20-day moving averages (second graph).

On May 16, the price reached a high of $279 — which was combined with a high in both the RSI and the MACD.

However, while the Ethereum price has continued to increase, both the RSI and the MACD have generated lower values.

ETH/USD Bearish Divergence

This is known as bearish divergence and often precedes price decreases.

While it is not very significant in value, it is occurring in both indicators and near a very significant resistance area.

On the other hand, moving averages have yet to turn bearish.

ETH/USD Moving Averages

To the contrary, they made a bullish cross on June 17, and have provided support to the price during the recent decrease.

However, the divergence is used to predict possible tops before they occur. Conversely, the moving averages are a lagging indicator. As a result, a reversal would already have to be underway for the MAs to turn bearish.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Price movement below the MAs and a possible bearish cross would provide confirmation that a reversal has begun.

Summary

Even with the recent increases, the ETH price has failed to break out past the 0.236 level of the drop or the 100-week moving average.

The recent price decrease may have possibly initiated the creation of an evening star pattern.

While momentum indicators support this possibility, the daily moving averages have yet to turn bearish.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.