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Downside Support Levels And Inflation, Real Rates, And Fed Rate Hikes

Published 12/16/2021, 11:26 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

While there are small support levels in gold at $1750, and the recent low at $1721, the $1675 level tested three times this year is more significant, followed by the 40-month moving average around $1620, and then the 50% retracement down to $1565-$1570. $18.70 is key support for silver.

Inflation is likely to start coming down, compressing how negative the real rates are, and the rate of change of inflation coming down will keep a lid on the precious metals and the commodities. 

He outlined that gold is the leader and has corrected for a year and half, and that other commodities like copper, base metals, and oil already peaked for the year running up to 10-year resistance levels, and he believes they won’t be breaking higher next year, and need to consolidate before making the next move higher in the longer term pattern for commodities.

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