Last night I noted some topping candles in Macy’s, M, often a signal of a reversal. Those candles turned out to be prescient not only for Macy’s but for the department stores in general. The chart for Macy’s shows that the stock is in an uptrend, and has found support at the 20 day Simple Moving Average (SMA) nearby. There is also support from the previous high there at 42.70. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish but falling.
Macy’s, M
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator (MACD) is pulling back from an extreme level on the signal line. These do indicate a pullback could continue, but until it falls below 41 it appears to be corrective and not a trend change. A second stock Saks, SKS, exhibited the same characteristics but looks to be in worse shape. The Shooting Star from Friday was confirmed lower Monday, with a dramatic red candle, ending over support of the rising channel.
Saks, SKS
Volume was heavy both days, and the RSI is now making a new low with the MACD turning lower. A break of the 100 and 200 day SMA at 11.00 and 10.87 respectively, would signal a trend change lower. Nordstrom, JWN, is a third stock that fits this pattern.
Nordstrom, JWN
The long upper shadow Thursday followed by a Spinning Top Friday, confirmed lower Monday. The confluence of the SMA between 54.08-54.46 sits just below, and it would take a move under those to turn bearish.
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