The start of this week was not the best possible for crude oil, since the price fell as low as 35.95 dollars a barrel on March 15th. However, the bulls managed to regroup and take the commodity to new highs near 39.63 so far. Some might explain oil’s price swings with the OPEC supply freeze negotiations. Others may add that the reports about the inventories, imports and exports caused the market to move in this particular way. But all the post-factum explanations are a bit useless. In our opinion, traders are far more interested in whether the development in the price of crude oil could have been predicted. Our answer is YES and we can prove it with the chart below.
As visible, the Elliott Wave Principle suggested we should expect a decline to around 36.00, before the bulls return to take oil to a new high. The relative strength index also helped us prepare for the weakness at the start of the week, by showing a bearish divergence between the last two swing highs. Now let’s see an updated chart, which will show us how crude oil has been developing during the last four days.
It turns out everything has been going according to plan. This is an excellent example of the fact that the Wave principle can help you predict not only just one single, but two consecutive price moves in opposite directions, without caring about all the explanations afterwards. That is one of the many reasons this forecasting method is our favorite. And we believe it deserves your trust too.