Talking Points
US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices snapped support at a trend line guiding prices higher since late February, hinting a near-term trend reversal may be at hand. A daily close below the 50% Fibonacci retracement at 11950 exposes the 61.8% level at 11899. Alternatively, a reversal above the 38.2% Fib at 12000 opens the door for a challenge of trend line support-turned-resistance at 12025.
S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices continue to test resistance in the 2111.00-19.40 area (23.6% Fibonacci expansion, February 25 high), with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 38.2% level at 2154.90. Alternatively, a reversal below the 14.6% Fib at 2084.00 targets the March 12 low at 2040.10.
Gold TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices have stalled above support at 1185.23, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion. A break below this barrier exposes the 38.2% level at 1161.16. Near-term resistance is at 1224.15, the April 6 high.
CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices look poised to continue higher after clearing resistance in the 62.98-63.56 area (February 17 high, 61.8% Fibonacci expansion). From here, a break above the 76.4% level at 66.16 exposes the 100% level at 70.36. Alternatively, a reversal back below 62.98 targets the 50% Fib at 61.45.
