Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Rising worries about the global economy triggered a strong wave of fixed-income buying last week, propelling US bonds to the top of the performance ledger for the major asset classes, based on a set...

Quickly recapping, equities experienced their worst week so far this year, and bonds soared as investors sought safety amid an escalation of the US – Sino trade war. The US and UK yield curves...

On Wednesday the financial media would have one believe the world and market's would fall apart as a result of the 2-Year/10-Year U.S. Treasury yield curve inverting, i.e., the 2-year yield moved to a...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators once again increased their bearish net positions in the US 10 Year T-Note Futures markets this week, according to...

Within nine months, yields on the 10-Year treasury note have declined from 3.2% to 1.8%, once again approaching their all time lows.The situation is even more extreme in other developed countries. On...

This time is different. This is what the experts say. The inversion of the yield curve did a great job in predicting recessions in the past, but the current inversion is not like the previous. The...

Before the age of the internet and social networking, there was a long period where television and video ruled the entertainment landscape. Half hour and hour long television programs were ingrained...

The big story recently was about the yield curve, which inverted on the 10-2 Year Treasury Yield Spread spread recently for the first time since 2007. That was right before the Great Recession hit,...

Once again, U.S 10-year Treasury yields are approaching 60-year historical lows set in mid-2012 and mid-2016, as shown on the following monthly chart. Shown on the next shorter-term...

Amazing isn’t it? It was only back in H2 2018 when everybody but you (because you are as smart as I think you are or because you read NFTRH or nftrh.com) and me was unbelievably bearish about...

Is the SEK market wrong pricing a rate cut? Long end remains too steep - flatten 10Y-20Y versus steepening 2Y-5Y. Update on existing recommendations - take profit on SEK 2Y versus EUR widener. SEK:...

An inversion of the 2-year and 10-year bond yield curves in the previous session sent panic across the markets. The Dow closed down 800 points, below its 200-day moving average as investors sold out...

US MarketsS&P 500 Futures -5 points US 10-Year 1.54% Oil $54.55 Dollar Index 97.86 VIX 22.25 International MarketsShanghai Composite +0.25% HSI +0.76%KOSPI – ClosedNikkei -1.2%DAX...

One of the crowd’s favorite yield curve pairings (the spread on 10-year less 3-month Treasuries) has been signaling elevated US recession risk since May. As of yesterday (Aug. 14), the...