Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Over the past four months the Fed has added about $400B to its balance sheet. To put this into perspective, since early September the Fed has expanded its balance sheet at an annualised rate of around...

The benchmark rate on the 10-year Treasury has been trending higher since October, suggesting that the sharp slide that unfolded earlier in 2019 has run its course. But the economic outlook is still...

Consider junk bonds, er, “high yield securities” (back in the Classic Rock era we just went ahead and called them what they were. Today the marketing folks are in charge, hence we now...

The Continuum (the systematic downtrend in long-term Treasury yields) has for decades given the Fed the green light on inflation. Sometimes it runs hot (as per the red arrows) and sometimes it runs...

Amid signs that 2019’s slowdown in the U.S. economy may be stabilizing, the U.S. Treasury market appears to be flirting with firmer inflation expectations. It’s too early to know if the...

As if the equity bulls needed any more help, bonds, by way of TLT, is making its way toward what would be a fairly important support failure. As interest rates creep higher, IYR is...

With global growth returning and the U.S. economy surging to a 3% growth rate in 2020, interest rates in the U.S. will begin to rise. It will result in the long-end of the yield curve increasing,...

The virus of negative yields is quickly spreading. In September 2019, the amount of global debt with negative yields amounted to about $16 trillion, or more than 25 percent of the market. This number...

Brilliant bond manager Jeffrey Gundlach—aka the “bond god”—has decreed that it’s time to sell “junk” bonds. And he’s gone as far as to say that...

Bund Futures first support at 171.95/90 but below here retests the December low at 171.65/61. A break lower targets support at 171.48/45. A break below 171.40 risks a slide till 171.10/05. Minor...

10-Year Note Non-Commercial Speculator Positions: Large bond speculators added to their bearish net positions in the 10-Year Note futures markets this week, according to the latest...

This post was written exclusively for Investing.com Interest rates have plunged in 2019, with the U.S. 10-year and 30-year yields both falling to their lowest levels in years: the former to the lowest...

Technical Analysis is the theory that price relates all news, fundamental and correlative future expectations into current and recent price activity. It is the theory that price is the ultimate...

Thanksgiving Didn't Disappoint BullsAs a bear, I was hoping this year would be different but of course, it wasn't. The odds of a Thanksgiving rally in the equity markets are high; light volume tends...