Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Over the past month, the global bond markets have been sending out signals that all is not well with the global economies. Initially, the surge in negative nominal rates in Europe and Japan rattled...

Low, Lower, LowestThe tax-free bond market spent the second quarter slowly grinding to lower and lower yields – especially in the longer-maturity end of the curve where the muni market has set...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators are bullish for 2nd week 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...

Falling in love is one of the greatest experiences on earth. However, it also leaves us blind to the flaws or shortcomings of our counterpart. That is how I feel about bonds right now with the U.S....

There is a 4.5-year cycle in 10-year treasury yields you might find interesting. Yields are dropping and will likely reach all-time lows later this year. A Brexit could see a panic pushing yields down...

T-Bonds have had a heck of a run. Whether you're talking about the last 6 months, the last 5 years or the last 3-and-half decades, bond prices have a come a long way. At the moment, t-bonds are...

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield eased yesterday (June 15) to 1.60%–the lowest since late 2012, based on daily data via Treasury.gov. The downtick follows yesterday’s decision by the...

The volatility on FOMC days can be quite amazing even on days when the Fed does nothing unexpected nor says anything unexpected. Here is a case in point in regards to US Treasury Bonds. On the U.S....

US Treasuries have been chugging along as stocks flirt with all-time highs. And now with stocks pulling back slightly Treasuries are continuing higher. Lets set aside the fairy tale that stocks and...

Risk aversion continues to dominate the global financial markets on Brexit fears. Nikkei suffers another day of selloff and is trading down -204 pts, or -1.28% at the time of writing. That followed...

The dominant chart construction in Treasury Bonds (30-Year T-Bonds in chart below) is the 10-month symmetrical triangle completed on the weekly continuation graph in late January. The September...

The stock market has seen various forms of extremely rare behavior over the past three years. The bond market has also checked some very, very rare boxes recently. From Bloomberg: Today’s bond...

The 30-year US Treasury Bond market has been trending up since 1981. This massive bull market is set to reach its conclusion next quarter if my analysis is correct.Let’s analyse the technicals...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators went long on 10-Year Notes 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...