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When the Fed was created in 1914, it was set to task of controlling short-term interest rates in an attempt to iron out financial cycles. It succeeded for many years. But by avoiding the natural...
Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased bearish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...
After seven years, the Federal Reserve finally did the unthinkable by raising the Fed Funds rate by 25 basis points. For years I’ve heard many investors and professionals talk about moving money...
While junk bonds haven't had much to brag about over the past few years, that trend is doing its best to change. Junk bonds are often viewed as leading indicators for the future direction of the...
Nominal Treasury yields ended very close to unchanged across the curve Monday, after a modest curve-steepening morning selloff was reversed by midday, and then yields settled into very narrow ranges...
From Sonia 7.000 highs in 1997, February 2009 experienced a first ever break of 1.000 to current price at 0.4665. The turning point in the UK was February 2009, as Sonia traded further first ever lows...
Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators sharply boosted bearish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...
Treasury yields opened modestly lower coming out of overnight trading Thursday and then saw a good further rally in the New York morning before stabilizing at the day’s best levels through the...
Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators sharply raised bearish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note...
Near Term US 10-Year Note Yield Outlook The Mar. 23 email, again affirmed the view of a top at the Mar. 16 high at 2.00%, and with declines back to the Feb. 11 low at 1.53% (and even below, though...
Potential Price Channel Melt-Up Set-Up on the TED Spread The TED spread has a potential price channel melt-up set-up on the chart. After confirming a price channel with a period of coiling, the TED...
Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10-Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased on standing long positions 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year...
The municipal bond market had a good first quarter in 2016. Overall yields have declined, with the AAA scale declining across the yield spectrum. Muni yields, however, did not drop as much as Treasury...
Near term U.S. 10-Year note yield outlook: In the Mar 16th email and the market near its recent highs at 2.00% (both a 50% retracement from the June 2015 high at 2.50% and the broken neckline of the...
Until last September, the Federal Reserve seemed to play down the market-based measures of inflation expectations, preferring the surveys that showed views were anchored. At the September 2015 FOMC...