Talking Points:
- AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support:0.9324-44, 0.9223-45, 0.9085
- Resistance: 0.9460, 0.9504, 0.9600
The Australian dollar is struggling to form a top against its US counterpart after showing a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. A daily close below support in the 0.9324-44 area, marked by a horizontal pivot in play since March and the 14.6% Fibonacci expansion, initially exposes the 0.9223-45 zone, bracketed by a range bottom and the 38.2% level. Alternatively, a turn above the April 10 high at 0.9460 clears the way for a test of the July 1 top at 0.9504.
Positioning is inconclusive for the time being. Bearish cues remain but follow-through has been absent. We will wait on the sidelines until an actionable opportunity with greater potential for follow-through presents itself.