As I wrote here, natural gas has showed a historical tendency to decline in price between June Trading Day #11 and July Trading Day #14 (Yes, it sounds ridiculous on the face of it, but, hey, the numbers are what the numbers are).
For the record, between the close on 6/15/15 and 7/21/15:
*September natural gas futures declined from 2.942 to 2.894, or a gain of $480 per a 1-lot short position (see Figure 1).
(Courtesy: ProfitSource by HUBB)
*The ETF United States Natural Gas (ARCA:UNG) declined from $14.03 a share to $13.87, or -1.14% (See Figure 2)
(Courtesy: ProfitSource by HUBB)
Not exactly earth-shattering but a profit is a profit. For the record, this is the 23rd time in the past 26 years that natural gas has showed a loss during this period (88.5% of the time)
Also for the record, in earlier articles I highlighted an example of an option trade to take advantage of this trend and also highlighted a profit-taking example.