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Note: This update incorporates last week's Second Estimate of Q4 GDP.Market Cap to GDP is a long-term valuation indicator that has become popular in recent years, thanks to Warren Buffett. Back in...
FTSE 6146 -1DAX 9798 +21 CAC 4428 +3 IBEX 8789 +25 Can the ASX sustain this rally? – Angus Nicholson Markets continue to rally in Asia, although Chinese markets have given up their early session...
The theme of the last 12 hours has been lower volatility, and naturally traders and investors have been asking whether we are in for a prolonged period of low volatility.Looking at the US volatility...
Since our February 11th lows, US equity markets have regained their footing in a meaningful way. Of course a great deal of the rebound that has materialized since then has come as a result of crude's...
Impact of Tightening Mortgage Lending on the Broader Economy When mortgage approval standards tighten, it’s a signal that lenders feel the economic outlook might be bleaker than in previous...
The last few weeks has seen the US economy produce some very upbeat market data; increasing CPI, PMI. This has caused investors to re-evaluate the possibility of a rate hike happening this year.The US...
US companies added 214,000 workers to payrolls last month, according to the ADP Employment report for February. The news offers more support for thinking that the economic expansion is in no immediate...
The Australian dollar continues to post gains on Wednesday, as AUD/USD trades at 0.7220 early in the North American session. On the release front, Australian GDP posted a gain of 0.6%, beating the...
FX Quant Strategy provides a quantitative overview of the currency market, including several valuation tools and monitors, focusing on the FX options market.This week we recommend two FX option...
Key themes Commodity markets have in general benefitted from the improved sentiment in financial markets over the past month. Sentiment has improved on the back of expectation of easier global...
CurrenciesEUR/USD: The pair is trading below its downward trend line on a 4 hour time frame. The next support is near the 1.0710 level and the resistance is 1.1062. USD/JPY: The pair is moving in a...
The US Treasury market’s implied inflation forecast has surged in recent days, albeit after reaching unusually low levels last month. Nonetheless, the rollercoaster of revising expectations...
US stock markets rallied on Tuesday as rising oil bolstered market sentiment. The dollar strengthened due to positive economic data which support the case for additional rate hikes this year.According...
The angst that characterized the first several weeks of the year continues to dissipate. Major equity markets are extending their two-week recovery into a third week. Immediate concerns about the US...
We have been living in a world of rapid globalization, but this is not a condition that we can expect will continue indefinitely. Figure 1. Ratio of Imported Goods and Services to GDP. Based in FRED...