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In last weekend’s newsletter, I reviewed the current state of the market and the risks of an August/September correction from a statistical standpoint.However, the important point was the...
Yet another stimulus plan for JapanThere was some action on the central bank front this morning as the Bank of Japan confirmed its plan of fiscal measures totalling 13.5 trillion yen and the Reserve...
FX Quant Strategy provides a quantitative overview of the currency market, including several valuation tools and monitors, focusing on the FX options market.This week we recommend two FX option...
The expected risk premium for the Global Market Index rebounded in July, rising to a 14-month high. GMI—an unmanaged market-value weighted mix of the major asset classes—is expected to...
The US dollar is offered against the major currencies, but appreciating against many emerging market currencies, include the South African rand and Turkish lira. Oil prices are trying to stabilize...
GBP/CHF Today’s support: - 1.2735, 1.2706 and 1.2690 (main), where correction is possible. Break would give 1.2677, where correction also may be. Then follows 1.2656. Break of the latter would...
In terms of key leads, the Dow Jones fell 0.19%, while the S&P 500 lost 0.13%. The Dow has now fallen for 6 days in a row, but the aggregated fall is only 1.2% - such is the lack of...
UK construction PMI (10:30 CET) may receive more attention than usual given that the final manufacturing PMI fell to 48.2, i.e. nearly four index points from June's 52.1 reading and even posting a...
The European Commission's Spring Eurobarometer survey shows unchanged support for the euro as a common currency.However, the survey should not completely remove the concern that Brexit will increase...
CurrenciesEUR/USD – was unable to benefit from the better data out of the Eurozone and the weaker data out of the US, and remains trading near the resistance around the 1.117 level. Today is a...
Can we be honest and say that many of the reductions in value, quantity and quality are actually instances of fraud? Yesterday, I showed how Consumer Prices Have Soared 160% Since 2001 for everything...
European equity markets are expected to open a little lower on Tuesday following yet another mixed session in Asia overnight, as the Reserve Bank of Australia became the latest central bank to ease...
Construction spending had been increasing steadily since the start of 2011. Factoring both the size of the decline due to the housing bust and the timing of the turnaround in sales and prices, the...
The menacing fury of economic triggers that began piling up after the Great Recession are only getting larger and we can’t do much but watch it unfold and stay alert.I wrote about this in a...
Regular readers know that I have been writing all year that the business cycle is slowly running out of gas. In recent weeks I have re-emphasized that point (perhaps to the point of being boring) in...