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We are at the stage ten years later where it is still necessary to define terms. In every finance and economics textbook, the chapter on monetary policy defines “tight” money as when the...
FX Quant Strategy provides a quantitative overview of the currency market, including several valuation tools and monitors, focusing on the FX options market.This week we recommend one FX option...
“There are apparent disconnects between the positive assessment of economic prospects reflected in market valuations and forecasts for the real economy.” – OECD Interim Outlook,...
On the whole, yesterday saw pretty much as I had expected – apart from one pair, that being GBP/USD. That’s the tougher outcome because it’s almost open ended, washing around in a...
Last week was characterized by the worst one-day correction in crude oil prices in 2017 and by job data that outstripped economists’ expectations on both sides of the border. On Friday, the...
Slow burn in marketsThe anticipation of a busy week ahead including the possible triggering of Article 50, a potential populist revolt in the Dutch national election and a likely US interest rate hike...
IS STAGFLATION STALKING?THE ANSWER IS CRITICAL TO YOUR FINANCIAL HEALTH! It is important to anticipate whether Stagflation is stalking because the yield curve will start pricing it in which will...
It certainly promises to be a big week from a macroeconomic perspective and there really is something for everyone, be it economic data, political risks or potential central bank action.The highlight...
The Canadian dollar’s slide was halted Friday by a surprisingly good jobs report. In February, Canada created 105,000 full-time positions! Even with a loss of 95,000 part-time jobs, the net gain...
In what was already going to be an eventful week for the UK, Nicola Sturgeon has thrown another, albeit expected, spanner in the works calling for another Scottish independence referendum leaving PM...
It’s been a relatively calm start to a week that is likely to be anything but, with European markets broadly mixed and U.S. futures pointing to a flat open.Traders appear to be in wait and see...
Five things you need to know about the week ahead.1. Interest Rate DecisionThe Federal Reserve will meet on Wednesday to decide on the cost of borrowing. It is forecasted that the policymakers will...
As a populist wave crashes over Europe, we look to the Netherlands as the first hurdle the region must overcome in 2017.On Wednesday, the world will look on as Dutch voters go to the polls. Up until...
The allotment result of the fourth and final targeted longer term refinancing operations (TLTRO) II auction will be published on Thursday 23 March. We expect a take-up of around EUR250bn. The...
Last week, I discussed the “World’s Most Deceptive Chart” which explored the deception of “percentage” versus actual “point” losses which has a much greater...