Bonds Analysis & Opinion

As I have written about in the past (here, here and here) the last five trading days of the month tend to be “the best of times” for t-bonds. T-bonds have showed a particularly strong...

Last night, driving at 1:30 in the morning with my son to find a place to look at the meteor shower, I was telling him about the magical world of Dennis Gartman. I described the entire Gartman meme...

The Note tested the long-term resistance line at 128.70 earlier today. The short-term trend is up but we may see some profit-taking after the recent rally.US 10 Year T-Note (9 months) Original post

TNX, the yield on the 10 Year Treasury note, fell for the fourth week in a row with a loss of 1.36% to close at 21.75 on Friday after challenging the 30-dma earlier in the week. TNX remains in the...

Its easy to turn on the TV or go on the web and find a discussion about how the Fed is going to raise rates. Government bonds and utilities are often viewed as being sensitive to interest rates. If...

A study done in 2011 showed the global bond market is nearly triple the size of global equities. I am quite sure it is even bigger today, but according to McKinsey, in 2010 there were 212 trillion in...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators decreased bullish bets 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year treasury note futures...

Lately, everyone has been wondering when interest rates will move higher. The talking heads in the media seem convinced that rates are moving much higher. They aren’t talking about one hike;...

Ten-Year T-Note Price Channel (Red) would be Heading into Critical Decision WaveThe 10-year t-note has formed both a megaphone and a potential price channel across the neckline of its potential...

Why is positioning in U.S. 10-Year treasury notes at its most bullish levels in 27 years despite several FOMC members calling for at least one rate hike this year? The latest positioning figures from...

This chart looks at the yield on the 30-year bond. Yields rallied strongly from the first of February to the first of July (up 30%). That strong rally in yields hit dual resistance at (1) above, which...

Weekly Large Trader COT Report: 10 Year US Treasury Note CFTC Futures data shows speculators increased bets for 10-Year Notes for 3rd week 10 Year Treasury Note Non-Commercial Positions: Large 10-year...

Long-dated U.S. Treasury bonds, as illustrated by the ETF (ARCA:TLT), have broken out and above the downward channel they were in. For those who believe U.S. Treasury bonds are not yet done with their...

US economic growth rebounded in the second quarter, but the Treasury market isn’t convinced that GDP’s 2.3% advance in the April-through-June period is the catalyst that will bring a rate...