Get 40% Off
💰 Buffett reveals a $6.7B stake in Chubb. Copy the full portfolio for FREE with InvestingPro’s Stock Ideas toolCopy Portfolio

Morning Bid: Rates relief; harvest gloom

Published 05/07/2024, 12:37 AM
Updated 05/07/2024, 12:40 AM
© Reuters. The German share price index DAX graph is pictured at the stock exchange in Frankfurt, Germany, May 6, 2024. REUTERS/Staff
HK50
-
UK100
-
ZW
-
ZC
-

A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Tom Westbrook

Gilts and London stocks were poised to catch up with global gains, following Monday's market holiday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell downplaying the risk of rate hikes and weaker-than-expected U.S. labour data has renewed confidence in rate cuts.

FTSE futures suggest the cash index is heading higher into record territory at the open, following gains in Asia and on Wall Street.

German factory orders are the highlight of the economic calendar, along with European retail sales numbers. UBS reports earnings.

In currencies, there is talk that speculators who have been heavily long dollars are paring back and maybe even preparing for the dollar's much-anticipated fall alongside U.S. rates.

However in price terms, the greenback has so far turned only to meandering rather than outright dropping. Indeed, it continued to rise for a second straight session on the yen, even as the spectre of official intervention hangs over the currency.

Australia's central bank left interest rates on hold, as expected, though it said the inflation rate remains high and is falling slower than expected.

Large flows from mainland China into Hong Kong's equity market have put downward pressure on the yuan. While the Hang Seng was set to snap a 10-day winning streak on Tuesday with a modest drop, it is nearly 15% above last month's lows.

The MSCI Asia ex-Japan index hit a 15-month high.

Commodities may pose another challenge to the comfort on the interest rate path. Oil has steadied while a ceasefire deal proves elusive in the Middle East.

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Chicago corn climbed for a fifth session in a row, touching its highest for the year so far and wheat touched a nine-month high as adverse weather roils the outlook.

Late frosts have hit Russia on the cusp of harvest season. Wet weather in the U.S. corn belt has planting behind schedule. Brazil is flooded and in Argentina leafhoppers are spreading a harmful bacteria that stunts growth and loosens corn kernels.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

Economics: Eurozone retail sales, German factory orders

Earnings: UBS, Disney

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.