Market Overview

This is one of my favorites, and every few years I re-blog some portion of this article. The original, I wrote in 2010. The basic question is, what is the correct way to respond as an investor to...

Stocks traded mostly sideways yesterday, even as rates and the dollar surged. However, the big news came yesterday when Jay Powell noted that it would take longer for the Fed to gain the confidence...

He said it. Federal Reserve (Fed) President Jerome Powell said that the Fed may delay its first rate cut due to the lack of progress in cooling inflation following a rapid decline observed by the end...

There’s an old saying in economics: “Demographics are destiny.”Why? Because a young and dynamic population is what carries everything – from spending and productivity...

In today’s presser with Powell basically said what he typically says:Higher for longer but maybe not as risks remain to the economy while inflation is too sticky. Here are some of our thoughts...

 1988年巴塞尔协议1的制定是全球金融监管史的一项里程碑É

Surging US retail sales dampen Fed rate cut expectations Wall Street sinks, dollar scales fresh highs as yields jump China GDP beat offers only tepid support as March data disappointsYen continues to...

Geopolitical Concerns Drive Gold Higher Despite the Strong US DollarThe gold (XAU) price rallied by 1.67% on Monday even though stronger-than-expected retail sales data lowered the probability of an...

A stronger-than-expected retail sales data from the US cemented the idea that the US economy remains too strong for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut the rates in summer. Retail sales jumped 0.7% in...

Gold’s huge-volume reversal is definitely THE news that got the spotlight last week. What does it mean?Gold’s Final Top?It most likely means that “this is it”. This was the...

Artificial intelligence (AI) and Bitcoin were top of mind at last week’s Paris Blockchain Week, where I had the privilege of presenting to an enthusiastic crowd. The blockchain and digital...

Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini FuturesThe S&P 500 Futures weekly chart formed an Emini consecutive bear bar, something that has not happened since October 2023. The bulls want to get at...

In the wake of last week’s hotter-than-expected consumer inflation data for March, the implied forecast via Fed funds futures indicates that interest-rate cuts are unlikely in the months...

Markets steady after Israel and allies intercept Iranian missiles and dronesHopes of no further escalation in conflict lift equities, oil slips But gold and dollar hold near highs Yen at fresh 34-year...