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Bank contagion has officially spread to international markets, raising fears that last week’s dramatic failures of U.S. lenders Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank may be just the start...
US interest rates have been on a roller coaster lately, but there’s a case for considering the possibility that yields have peaked. The wild card is the Federal Reserve, of course. The critical...
Bonds are becoming attractive as investors are flying to safety. At one point last week, the yield on a two-year Treasury note was over 5%; that caught the attention of investors. A laddering strategy...
On March 7, we asked Will the Market Internals Turn More Bearish? While we focused mainly on Jerome Powell’s testimony, where he said, "If the totality of the data were to indicate that...
With bond yields (and interest rates) rising sharply, it’s understandable that most of the world is hoping for lower rates.Lower interest rates allow for more flexible lending to both businesses...
Both the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSE:AGG) and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) have reached “oversold” status on the monthly charts, which normally...
There is a time to be long, a time to be short, and a time to go fishing.As inflation skyrocketed and the Fed turned hawkish, bonds were kryptonite for investors for most of 2022: it was time to be...
The entire financial system revolves around credit. At the heart of this system lies the ability of corporations and consumers to access credit, which is largely driven by the economic cycle and the...
US consumer inflation continues to ease, but less so than expected in January. Yesterday’s update suggests that the Federal Reserve will see the latest numbers as a new sign that pricing...
Last weekend we looked at the US dollar, which was beginning to show some strength as it is trying to find a bottom after a pretty hard selloff that can affect many different market sectors. Today I...
After taking a beating last year, US fixed income securities have clawed back some of the losses so far in 2023, based on a set of ETFs through yesterday's close (Feb. 9). But with the Federal Reserve...
Through the recent gyrations, markets seem to lack the conviction needed to push new lows in rates. The resulting range-trading environment brings lower rates of volatility and better risk appetite....
When I started working in the financial markets, bond traders were the cool kids. The equity guys drove Maseratis and acted like buffoons, but the bond guys drove sensible style like Mercedes and...
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates again this week and Chairman Jerome Powell says more hikes are coming. The bond market disagrees.The 2-Year Treasury yield – widely monitored as a proxy...
One of the traders in the Forex Analytix community (Grasshopper) pointed out that the United States 10-Year Yields are developing an inverted head and shoulder pattern, which may lead (on a breakout)...