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German industrial output falls less than expected in March

Published 05/08/2024, 02:19 AM
Updated 05/08/2024, 03:10 AM
© Reuters. An employee explains the battery system and the engine of a fully electric VW ID Buzz to journalists on a production line at a Volkswagen Commercial Vehicle plant in Hanover, Germany, June 16, 2022. REUTERS/Fabian Bimmer/Files

By Maria Martinez

(Reuters) -German industrial production declined in March, although less than expected thanks to construction, data from the federal statistics office showed on Wednesday.

Industrial production fell by 0.4% compared to February, a smaller decline than the 0.6% fall predicted by analysts polled by Reuters.

"The renewed contraction in industrial production in March after two months of expansion is a reminder that the German economy is still struggling," said Franziska Palmas, senior Europe economist at Capital Economics.

Palmas expects industrial output to rise a bit further over the course of the year but remain subdued by past standards.

The less volatile three-month on three-month comparison showed production was 1.0% higher from January to March than in the previous three months, the statistics office said.

Production increased by 1.7% in February on the month, less than the 2.1% before the revision of the data.

"The cyclical downswing has come to an end and optimism is back," ING's global head of macro Carsten Brzeski said. "However, the road to a substantial recovery, particularly in industry, remains long."

Demand in manufacturing remains weak. German industrial orders fell by 0.4% month-on-month in March, on a seasonally and calendar adjusted basis, data showed on Monday.

In April, 39.5% of manufacturing companies reported a lack of orders, up from 36.9% in January, a separate survey of the Ifo Institute showed on Wednesday.

"The lack of orders is hampering economic development in Germany," said Klaus Wohlrabe, head of surveys at Ifo.

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In view of the weakness of orders, Commerzbank (ETR:CBKG)'s senior economist Ralph Solveen expects a decline in output in the coming months. A recovery is nevertheless forecast in the second half of the year, Solveen said.

Production in manufacturing - which excludes energy and construction - was down 0.4% on the month.

There was a 4.2% decrease on the month in energy production in March, while production in construction grew by 1.0% from the previous month, Destatis data showed.

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