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US Coffee C Futures - Sep 24 (KCU4)

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Please note: the US Coffee C contract rolled over on Jun 16, 2024 to the Sep 24 contract
226.45 +2.05    +0.91%
12:55:28 - Real-time derived data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 224.40
  • Open: 225.43
  • Day's Range: 223.12 - 227.75
US Coffee C 226.45 +2.05 +0.91%

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 NameSymbolLastChg. %Vol.Time
 WisdomTree Coffee 2x Daily LeveragedLCFE1.390+2.45%57.62K10:11:34 
 WisdomTree Coffee 2x Daily LeveragedLCFE1.4715+0.86%20.71K11:35:59 
 WisdomTree CoffeeCOFF34.500+0.51%2.15K11:12:37 
 WisdomTree CoffeeCOFF36.91+0.76%563.0011:35:59 
 WisdomTree CoffeeOD7B34.6280+1.15%0.83K10:59:07 

Indices

 NameLastHighLowChg.Chg. %Time
 Dow Jones-UBS Coffee26.030726.076325.5912+0.3309+1.29%12:56:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee15.538715.566115.2755+0.1982+1.29%12:56:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee TR36.586036.650435.9666+0.4825+1.34%12:56:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee Euro Hedged TR34.817034.877934.2293+0.4533+1.32%12:56:00 
 DJ Commodity Coffee212.44213.70209.71+1.83+0.87%12:56:00 

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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 9 hours ago
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Revistacafeicultura- The 2024 coffee harvest is marked by a significant challenge: the drop in grain yield. Due to the strong water deficit throughout 2023, there was a substantial decrease in the filling of coffee beans, resulting in a significant reduction in grain yield. Producers from different regions have reported this drop, with very low coffee sieves and a high level of mocha beans, in some cases reaching 22% mocha. For example, at Rodo Munho Farm, in Rio Paranaíba, MG, a reduction of up to 29% in grain yield was observed. In 2023, 50 grams of coffee contained 298 beans, while in 2024, 415 beans are needed for the same quantity.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 5 hours ago
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The harvest is going well, with producers taking advantage of the dry climate and early maturation of Arabica. According to weekly monitoring by Safras & Mercado, by June 11th, 37% of the 24/25 harvest had already been harvested. This percentage exceeds the same period last year, which was 33%, and the average of the last 5 years for the same period, which was 34%. The conilon harvest continues at a good pace and has already exceeded half of production, with 51% of the work already completed. “After a slower start, work accelerated, especially in Rondônia. However, isolated rains hampered the harvest in Espírito Santo a little”, points out Safras consultant, Gil Barabach. Even so, jobs are above the same period last year (49%) and in line with the average of the last 5 years. Reports of small coffee and losses of around 10% to 15% of the harvest continue, with some producers indicating up to 30% below expectations. This reinforces the idea of ​​a negative review in the harvest number, assesses Barabach.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 5 hours ago
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For ES R 10%-15% of possible reduction would translate into 1.6 - 2mb. :)
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 5 hours ago
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End of June will clarify :) A. As a main problem was very high temp and often for quite some time, unlikely A will surprise ... :)
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 2 hours ago
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The beauty of current situation is in its simplicity: 1) a lot of origins have been affected with the same heat waves/high temps problem; 2) the fact(s) was recorded/confirmed by the stations - no guessing is needed; 3) effect is well studied and described by many researchers; 4) Brazil is KING, if it will be officially confirmed that KING suffered, what to say about other origins ? 5) ES Conilon got harvested for 50% and the problem started materializing - at 50% of the harvest is impossible to expect that remaining 50% will level reduction, the question is only in the percentage, 10% would be very conservative estimate for ES.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 1 hour ago
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Market is still patiently counting beans...
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kelvin the Bishop
kelvin the Bishop Jun 15, 2024 8:24AM ET
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hi every one I'm kinda new here can I have one friend to asking about anything concerning this app?
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Alpha Centauri
Alpha Centauri Jun 14, 2024 8:14AM ET
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Firstly 69.9 vs. 61.4 now or what?
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 14, 2024 8:14AM ET
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No, those are different forecasters: 69.9mb - USDA, 61.4mb - IBGE.
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Robert Pungerl
Robert Pungerl Jun 14, 2024 7:24AM ET
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again 217?
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 10:39PM ET
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Well, Procafe admitted problem in full in its last podcast with a lot of details and scientific explanation. So, what is bad for Brazil should be bad as well for other origins, that have got affected in similar way (it's easier to say which one hasn't ...) :)
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 10:39PM ET
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MGom Thank you for your comments !
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 10:39PM ET
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In some cases, higher temperatures can induce flowering and result in an increased number of settings (future beans). This is particularly true if the higher temperatures are coupled with other favorable conditions such as adequate water supply and proper nutrition. Higher temperatures can lead to faster ripening, which might result in beans that are less dense and have inferior flavor profiles. Warmer conditions can promote the proliferation of pests and diseases, which can damage the coffee plants and reduce yields. Higher temperatures increase the evaporation rate, leading to water stress if irrigation is not sufficient. Water-stressed trees are less productive and more susceptible to diseases. Prolonged exposure to high temperatures can cause physiological stress, reducing the tree's overall health and its ability to produce beans in the long term. In summary, while higher temperatures can sometimes provoke coffee trees to produce more beans, the overall impact is usually negative due to stress and quality issues.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 10:39PM ET
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As the stations say, temps have been quite out of the comfortable range and for kinda long. Too many beans is not what the tree likes, if science is any guideThe coffee tree has limited resources and nutrients. If it produces too many settings, the available nutrients get distributed among a larger number of beans, leading to nutrient deficiency. This can result in smaller, less developed beans and a reduction in overall bean quality. Producing a high number of settings places significant stress on the tree. This stress can weaken the tree, making it more susceptible to diseases and pests. It also reduces the tree's ability to recover and produce high-quality beans in subsequent seasons. Overproduction can lead to poor bean development. The beans may not mature properly, resulting in uneven ripening. This inconsistency can affect the flavor profile of the coffee, leading to a lower quality product. .
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 10:39PM ET
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Cherry on top: Although the initial yield may be high, overproduction can deplete the tree's resources and negatively impact future yields. The tree may produce fewer beans in the following seasons due to the exhaustion of nutrients and energy reserves.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 10:39PM ET
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Summation: 1) some farms have irrigation and good fertilization, etc but irrigation does not protect of high on leaf temp overall negative effect ; 2) temps were way out of the comfort range for A and R, by science it means overall damage but not higher yield; 3) not all farms :) :) :) are irrigated, effect on the non-irrigated farms by science is more negative; 4) the problem is not just smaller beans, but also undeveloped (not correctly developed) beans - density is lower - weight is lower - yield is lower; 5) overall quality should remain an issue - there should be less standard quality bags. I would risk to say that Brazil may underproduce :) in 24/25 about 5mb and easy.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 8:04PM ET
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Uganda report came out today: 24/25 increased 40kb vs 23/24 (6.9mb vs 6.86mb), R projected 5.895mb in 24/25 vs 5.87mb in 23/24 (+25kb), export will rise from 6.52mb to 6.58mb. (Production 23/24 grew vs 22/23 roughly 300kb.)
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Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Jun 13, 2024 8:04PM ET
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What Brazil exports in a single day
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Rain
Rain Jun 13, 2024 7:37AM ET
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This is only the beginning
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Robert Cunderlik
Robert Cunderlik Jun 13, 2024 7:37AM ET
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of what ?
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Rain
Rain Jun 13, 2024 7:37AM ET
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Robert Cunderlik Bull run
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Christopher Poh
Christopher Poh Jun 13, 2024 7:37AM ET
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The sell off
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jun 13, 2024 5:27AM ET
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Just a quick thought on the record export volumes reported by the ICO. The numbers might be a bit misleading. We've heard reports that producer countries like Vietnam or Colombia are now importing beans from Brazil. They have to import to get beans to fulfill their export obligations. This means the same beans are counted twice, first when they are exported from Brazil and second time when they are exported again from another country. I don't know how big this phenomenon is, but it might be worth considering.
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Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari Jun 13, 2024 5:27AM ET
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They're working on it
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Bruno O Souza
Bruno O Souza Jun 13, 2024 5:27AM ET
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Kenan Hajdari maybe in ten tears we will have some results
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Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Jun 13, 2024 5:27AM ET
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And people maybe will wait 10 year to drink coffee
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Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria Jun 13, 2024 5:27AM ET
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In Brazil, we have always worked on this. There are already plants that are more resistant than others to drought, rust, and nematodes (each one resistant to a disease or disease, but never to all of them). So far, they have not managed to make cacti produce coffee.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 13, 2024 5:27AM ET
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Short Dude. Situation when one Member (by ICO, producing country which is NET exporter) imports beans from other origin to fulfill the contract obligations is hardly economically viable, as default would be a cheaper option, macro speaking. The most informative and illustrative indicator to evaluate if export is bearish or bullish, is export vs stocks at destinations for given month, quarter, year, etc. If growing export goes in tact with growing stocks within specified time frame, then it is bearish within that time frame, if growing export is seen on constant or decreasing stocks - bullish. While being primitive, it is stays most simple approach. :)
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Oscar Correa
Oscar Correa Jun 12, 2024 2:00PM ET
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I really thought FND was going to put more pressure.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jun 12, 2024 12:41PM ET
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Cup and handle in the making.
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Long Dude
Long Dude Jun 12, 2024 12:41PM ET
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On what timeframe would that be?
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jun 12, 2024 12:41PM ET
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Daily/weekly
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Alpha Centauri
Alpha Centauri Jun 12, 2024 12:41PM ET
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ShortDude ShortDude  , and annual ;)
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