Get 40% Off
🚀 AI-picked stocks soar in May. PRFT is +55%—in just 16 days! Don’t miss June’s top picks.Unlock full list

Dollar up slightly after consumer sentiment data, CPI eyed

Published 05/09/2024, 08:59 PM
Updated 05/10/2024, 02:35 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
EUR/USD
-
GBP/USD
-
USD/JPY
-

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK (Reuters) -The dollar inched higher on Friday following a reading on U.S. consumer sentiment as investors sorted through a batch of comments from Federal Reserve officials, with the focus beginning to turn toward key inflation readings next week.

The greenback pared declines and turned modestly higher after the University of Michigan's preliminary reading on consumer sentiment came in at 67.4 for May, a six-month low and below the 76.0 estimate of economists polled by Reuters. In addition, the one-year inflation expectation climbed to 3.5% from 3.2%.

The dollar had weakened on Thursday after a higher than expected reading on initial jobless claims fueled expectations the labor market was loosening, adding to other recent data that indicated the overall economy was slowing.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, gained 0.09% to 105.31, with the euro down 0.08% at $1.0772. The dollar was on track for its first weekly gain after two straight weeks of declines.

Next week, investors will eye readings on inflation in the form of the consumer price index (CPI) and producer price index (PPI), as well as retail sales data.

"The CPI, I don't think it's going to change people's views; the price pressure is still elevated, but it'll be a decline, it will be just a softer year-over-year read," said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex in New York.

"So it's not so much the magnitude, but the direction."

Also supporting the dollar were comments from Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan, who said it was not clear whether monetary policy was tight enough to bring inflation down to the U.S. central bank's 2% goal, and it was too soon to be cutting interest rates.

That ran counter to earlier comments from Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic, who said the Fed likely remained on track to cut rates this year even if the timing and extent of the policy easing was uncertain. In addition, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee said he believes U.S. monetary policy is "relatively restrictive."

The comments capped off a week of varying opinions among Fed officials as to whether rates are high enough.

Following last week's softer than expected U.S. payrolls report and a Fed policy announcement, markets have been pricing in about 50 basis points (bps) of cuts this year, with a 62.2% chance for a cut of at least 25 basis points in September, according to CME's FedWatch Tool.

Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened 0.26% to 155.86 and was up about 1.9% on the week against the Japanese currency after it tumbled 3.4% last week, its biggest weekly percentage drop since early December 2022 after two suspected interventions by the Bank of Japan.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

Japan's Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki said on Friday the government would take appropriate action on foreign exchange if needed, echoing recent comments from other officials.

Sterling edged up 0.02% to $1.2525 after earlier reaching $1.2541 in the wake of data showing Britain's economy grew by the most in nearly three years in the first quarter of 2024, ending the shallow recession it entered in the second half of last year.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.