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US Coffee C (KCZ5)

Real-time derived
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
KC·Derived·USD
KCc1·ICE·USD
KCc2·ICE·USD
KCc3·ICE·USD
KCc4·ICE·USD
KCc5·ICE·USD
KCc6·ICE·USD
KCc7·ICE·USD
Currency in USD
365.30
-15.55(-4.08%)
Closed·

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Colombia's cumulative production between October and August: 13.726m, the largest harvest in 11 months since 1992/93. No climate changes in Colombia. This is good news!
Coffee Prices Tumble on Reports US Lawmakers Seek Tariff Exemptions on Coffee
This has nothing to do with the physical inventory in warehouses. The quantity hasn't changed. If Trump hadn't raised the tariffs, we'd probably still be at $275. The stock market has nothing to do with logic. Ever since I started trading illogically, I've been successful. :)
The removal of tariffs would immediately reduce import costs for coffee traders, roasters, and distributors. This reduction would encourage higher volumes of imports, particularly from major producing countries such as Brazil, Vietnam, and Colombia. With more competitive supply entering the U.S. market, retail and wholesale prices of coffee are expected to decrease.
Coffee KC, supply is tightened with tariffs. US Importers and roasters are buying from other countries which decreases overall supply and drives up prices. The tariffs effectively priced Brazil out of the US market which makes their supply meaningless. Opening free trade with Brazil will ease pressure on supply from the rest of the world bringing the market down.
Question to the botanist: Why is there defoliation after using the tractor?
I think the part where the cherry is conneced to the shrub is where the flowers bloom. Tractor harvesting strips this off. Hand picking preserves it.
Are you referring to crop 0 pruning? Which is a lateral pruning of the branches after the ON harvest where the lateral branches are cut where 1 branch gives rise to several other branches, increasing production after 2 years and zeroing the harvest in the following year (reducing costs with fertilizers and labor in the OFF harvest).
* "harvest 0".
A couple buyers popped up. Yes I've got a green cycle for next week (but volatile).
Fibo 50% - 357,53 is strong rezistence
Algo's busy calculating if they can push this thing to 350 today....
That's it, low is in. Liquidations have been performed at RTH open. (in my dreams of course).
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Will is go to 350 today then
I like this flowers effect so much ;)
For now rain effect, flowers are next.
100% agree
mighty coffee
Next price target 340
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would you put a sell on it?
doesnt look it want to recover
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recover to what?
To 420? :)
Nasty chop zone 374 - 380.
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now367 so will it go up or down from here
Expecting a retrace of the recent price drop to 50% of measured move: 397. Next week. No I am not wiped out from that silly premature long on Wednesday. Worked for the bank though, getting nowhere after erasing Monday's short haul.
Ah, September is your flowers. "What for many are flowers, for others becomes a nightmare!" They forget that the flowering is not a guarantee of a rich harvest and record harvest, still a long way to go there, support of 370 still managed to hold firm, and in a brief return to time, last year on 09/20/24, we had the same movement of flowers and market cleaning!
Correction it is 37% not 40%. And it will go lower if we need to believe your own sentences, which is great so we can divide the entire coffee production amongst more countries! Somehow climate changes only happens in Brasil. And 100% arabica coffee is €31.96 now in Amsterdam in Albert heijn :)
Ro, you really don't understand why coffee is above 300, why it surpassed 400, and why it's falling now? I honestly can't believe you sold; someone so inexperienced doesn't trade coffee.
Well I made much money 2 days ago. I was observering your tricks for 1.5 years now. And it worked. Even gemini and chatgpt say this is bloated and manipulated. Its literally AI saying this.
Today is a snoozer after yesterday
The Calm before the storm maybe?
cant say “storm” on this thread without a weather audit
While ECMWF is wet, GFS not so much. Which is right?
OK, I agree, you are right, but the flowers are so scary! You need to scare the bulls a little and at the same time there will be a good opportunity to take long positions more favorably. Everyone should be happy? ;)
100% :)
ShortDuke, combine SLU/CASMA/SWB
Right now, 379.55 shown, but real time is 380.60 (E135 per month ice market subscription). Not that this knowledge by itself will make me any moneys).
sell 360
Rains are bearish, but floods not. What will happen next week? There is a correction and gap too. We might visit 408 today.
What happend with 500 and 600 and 450this week? You had a lot of arguments for it, gone? Yes ? No?
True, but one main argument was the lack of rain that is now off the table. Furthermore various models are starting to tell the same story looking forward so the story is taking root. Lots of rain on the horizon. If the rain fails to materialize we will all suffer a severe case of whiplash.
You don't mess with fire and water, ShortDude.
Enough clue to sell yesterday :D
The question is (even though I know you won't answer): did you sell it? :)
I did, I promised myself over 400 I will go in. So I got 4 positions on $403, $405, $408 and $415. I was just waiting for the right moment until the fake manipulation exploded. I see you guys doing this for 1.5 years now so I kinda saw a pattern when to strike.
after that you can count tomorow another 20 drop pfuu :D what a masacre
Today's close at 390 would be nice and simple :).
Viriato rains and flowers are for bulls like kryptonite for superman. ;)
Absolutely !!! That's why MGom was always saying that it s not advisable in Sep. We have roughly one more week for the month and quarter to close - the charts will get more illustrative :). But we have to follow a common sense and common sense says that assuming the fact that all the sources stated underproduction in 2025 of a scale, 2026 ON crop will not produce a record crop as it would be against the science and science always wins. There is nothing strange that 400 doesn't give up easy - it is a truly historical level and the dance around it is perfectly fine. But it is not common to have 380 in mid of Sep and it would be less common for Oct :), etc. Recent advance fortified the base and the higher the base - the higher potential. Charts wise 550 level as a cluster around it would be nothing special at all :).
Breaking news : ICE last day trading : 09/19. No "real buyers" even at 300$, story developping
Someone used to say that buying in September is not advisable :):):).
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