Bonds Analysis & Opinion

With bond yields (and interest rates) rising sharply, it’s understandable that most of the world is hoping for lower rates.Lower interest rates allow for more flexible lending to both businesses...

Both the iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSE:AGG) and the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) have reached “oversold” status on the monthly charts, which normally...

Cash is no longer trash, courtesy of sharply higher interest rates. Trailing yields on risky assets are looking up too.The source for the change in payout rates, of course, is a run of rate hikes by...

There is a time to be long, a time to be short, and a time to go fishing.As inflation skyrocketed and the Fed turned hawkish, bonds were kryptonite for investors for most of 2022: it was time to be...

The entire financial system revolves around credit. At the heart of this system lies the ability of corporations and consumers to access credit, which is largely driven by the economic cycle and the...

During Refinitiv Lipper’s fund-flow week that ended February 13, 2023, investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the first week in...

Last weekend we looked at the US dollar, which was beginning to show some strength as it is trying to find a bottom after a pretty hard selloff that can affect many different market sectors. Today I...

After taking a beating last year, US fixed income securities have clawed back some of the losses so far in 2023, based on a set of ETFs through yesterday's close (Feb. 9). But with the Federal Reserve...

When I started working in the financial markets, bond traders were the cool kids. The equity guys drove Maseratis and acted like buffoons, but the bond guys drove sensible style like Mercedes and...

The Federal Reserve raised interest rates again this week and Chairman Jerome Powell says more hikes are coming. The bond market disagrees.The 2-Year Treasury yield – widely monitored as a proxy...

One of the traders in the Forex Analytix community (Grasshopper) pointed out that the United States 10-Year Yields are developing an inverted head and shoulder pattern, which may lead (on a breakout)...

Usually with US auctions this strong, we're in the midst of a bond market rally with considerable room for more. But the downside moves have been tame in fact, despite the recession talk to boot. We...

I was going to write a technical column today about how the sensitivity of bonds (and consequently, lots of other asset prices) to interest rates increase as interest rates decline, and discuss the...

The 2022 macro narrative was dominated by the highly positive correlation between bond and stock prices (i.e. rising yields and falling stocks). In this period, exogenous central bank action drove...