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The world economy is weakening: the US payroll tax increase and “sequestration” are pressuring the US economy; China is being pressured by Japan, and has “dampened” their housing market. the Eurozone remains mired in “inaction.” For now, although we feel that risk is being mispriced at current levels given recent pressure upon world economic figures and the developing pressure upon corporate margins/ earnings — the consensus is that the world’s central banks will save the day.
STRATEGY: The S&P 500 remains above the 160-wma long-term support level at 1341; and the standard 200-dma support level at 1521. But perhaps more importantly, the distance above the 160-wma has has now faltered below the +23% “bubble-like rally” threshold. This is a warning sign to be sure; especially given 1600 was violated to the downside.
Recent economic estimates suggest US growth has slowed compared with previous estimates, but today’s revised GDP nowcast for the second quarter still points to a modest pickup in...
It is always interesting when commodity prices rise. The market produces various narratives to suggest why prices will keep growing indefinitely. Such applies to all commodities,...
Investing doesn't have to be daunting if you focus on realistic strategies and asset allocation. Understanding your goals, circumstances, and risk tolerance is key to creating a...
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