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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

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1.574 +-0.002    +-0.14%
15/10 - Closed. ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Bond
Group:  Government
Market:  United States
  • Prev. Close: 1.576
  • Day's Range: 1.574 - 1.574
U.S. 10Y 1.574 +-0.002 +-0.14%
S&P 500 Slumps as Rising Yields Trigger Sea of Red
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By Yasin Ebrahim Investing.com – The S&P 500 fell Tuesday, as tech stocks slumped following a surge in Treasury yields and signs of consumer weakness at a time when concerns about a more sustained...

S&P 500 on track for worst day in four months
S&P 500 on track for worst day in four months By Reuters - Sep 28, 2021

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Dollar, Yen Up as U.S. Bond Yields Hit Three-Month High
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By Gina Lee Investing.com – The dollar was up on Tuesday morning in Asia, with the yen trading near an almost three-month low to the dollar, with rising U.S. bond yields attracting Japanese...

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Dollar, Yen Down as China Evergrande Fears Slowly Recede By Investing.com - Sep 27, 2021 3

By Gina Lee Investing.com – The dollar was down on Monday morning in Asia, while the yen, a fellow safe-haven asset, sank to its lowest level in nearly three months. Riskier assets, such as the...

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United States 10-Year Discussions

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WTIHedge 12 hours ago
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Inflation is here in big way although I have been mildly bullish on the 10yr. The fed will find an excuse to keep buying bonds before the taper ends. Also I you will see more demand destruction. Ex my car has another few years minimum but I went online to create an order for a base model 3 and noticed the price was up $2k I could not justify the purchase. I will reevaluate next year.
State Street
Statestreet Oct 16, 2021 4:09AM ET
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if minimum wage increases, I almost guarantee inflation will go up. wages are a main cost in household items. interest doesn't rank as high as wages with cpi.
Aaron Roberts
Aaron Roberts Oct 16, 2021 4:09AM ET
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So this is only half the story. Yes some costs are passed on to the consumer, but only if it is a non competitive market for goods. Patented tech, energy, cell and internet service all go up. BUT goods that are highly competitive actually go down in price (assuming there's no supply issues like there are now) because people can afford more of them. Think wholesale and bulk discounts. Think a 4 pack of toilet paper vs a 30 pack and the average price per roll for the consumer. When the consumer makes more money they can buy more stuff, buying more stuff means more discounts, and more discounts means a cheaper price per unit.
State Street
Statestreet Oct 16, 2021 4:09AM ET
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I totally forgot about buying power and competitive/noncompetitive markets.
State Street
Statestreet Oct 15, 2021 11:39PM ET
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nobody mentioned it but a bond yield hike is probably a good thing for us investment. first, it shows the economy is strong. second, it will allow financing of government projects which creates jobs.
Nick Smith
Nick Smith Oct 15, 2021 11:39PM ET
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Seriously? It will allow financing of government? So, if your credit card changes you 40% interest instead of 20%, it will somehow allow you to buy more stuff?
State Street
Statestreet Oct 15, 2021 11:39PM ET
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I don't see it affecting your credit card bill that much. maybe if you want a new loan it goes up 1or 2 percent. if you start a project your costs go up 1-2 but you most likely pass that along to the end user.
Dave Jones
Dave Jones Oct 15, 2021 11:39PM ET
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gosh are you really jer powell in disguise?
Aaron Roberts
Aaron Roberts Oct 15, 2021 11:39PM ET
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Nick Smith  I understand where you're coming from with a personal view but the gov't spending and budgeting doesn't work that way. Let's play this out. First thing to understand is the treasury prints money and the fed issues credit. The gov't however gets to decide it's own credit limit (people don't) if the fed raises the interest rate the gov't raises the credit limit to pay the difference. No big deal. If the fed ever refuses to issue more credit cause it has that right then the treasury would just print the dollars to meet the obligation and the debt is paid. The treasury could literally have the US completely out of debt tomorrow. HOWEVER, there are consequences. No one would issue the US gov't credit again (for  a while) and the dollar would collapse with the US economy hyperinflating. HOWEVER, if the US switches to another currency first and then gives the fed a bunch of funny money it's all good. Hello crypto!!
Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman Oct 15, 2021 4:18PM ET
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Zinc is up 8% in 1 day…
Nick Smith
Nick Smith Oct 15, 2021 4:18PM ET
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Nowadays this is nothing in commodity world sadly.
Frank Francone
Frank Francone Oct 15, 2021 4:18PM ET
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Wall Street is up 100% in 1 year ... Inflation is everywhere ... We have so much money that we created fake money with crypto
Apple Jack
Apple Jack Oct 15, 2021 4:13PM ET
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Calling the bluff on Nasdaq
Aaron Roberts
Aaron Roberts Oct 15, 2021 4:13PM ET
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Not yet, but soon. I give it 1 quarter after the 3.5 T spending bill passes and it collapses. Valuations are way too high.
Don Johnson
Don Johnson Oct 15, 2021 3:08PM ET
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Somebody thinks the first rate hike is coming sooner than the analysts are saying. The chance of the first hike happening in June is almost up to 50% while CNBC still talking end of 2022. https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html#
Danke Glock
Danke Glock Oct 15, 2021 3:08PM ET
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The Fed’s taper timeline makes it possible for a rate hike to happen sooner so the Fed Fund Futures contracts started to reflect that probability.
James Victorino
James Victorino Oct 15, 2021 3:08PM ET
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Danke Glock  What are your thoughts of the impact, if any, tapering will have on the bond markets?  Why do the yields have such an impact on the NQ?
Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman Oct 15, 2021 1:23PM ET
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Stock indexes arent worried about “tapering”.Its heading higher and higher
Aaron Roberts
Aaron Roberts Oct 15, 2021 1:23PM ET
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That has more to do with front running a 3.5 Trillion spending bill than it does the fed tapering. The fed does 120 Billion a month so that spending bill is worth almost 30 months of fed spending, all at once.
NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 1:10PM ET
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Retail workers in August walked out on their jobs at one of the highest rates in the nation, with a total 721,000 quitting, according to the latest numbers from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Aaron Roberts
Aaron Roberts Oct 15, 2021 1:10PM ET
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That is a really manipulated stat. Under the covid vax mandate the workers didn't actually quit, they were fired for refusing to vax but firing people in mass because of a vax mandate in the middle of a labor shortage doesn't fit the media narrative.
Reverse Flash
Reverse Flash Oct 15, 2021 1:04PM ET
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Bull trap
Reverse Flash
Reverse Flash Oct 15, 2021 1:04PM ET
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Thats gonna happen everytime gold hints 1800. They dont want gold to show real inflation & drop the $
NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 12:39PM ET
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Kellogg's 1,400 workers walked off job this week.  John Deere 10,000 workers walked off job this week, JD stock price up today.  I guess in upside down world John Deere just cut their payroll expense by 10,000 employees so that makes the company more profitable & more enticing to investors?  Even thought they have no employees to build, repair, & sell their products...
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NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 12:39PM ET
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The Fed can print quadrillions, congress can spend quadrillions, banks like Goldman can report stellar earnings, & they can produce any report you want telling us all how great everything is, but that's not reality.  In the real world that we live in, jobs & wages are stagnant, prices for everything are skyrocketing, virus lockdowns have destroyed the economic & social order, & people are now revolting.  The people are about to give this market a HARD reality check.
James Victorino
James Victorino Oct 15, 2021 12:39PM ET
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You know what is unreal?  Having an automaker with a market cap of +$800 billion because people think the CEO is "cool."
NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 12:39PM ET
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James Victorino  Yep, that too.  Another company that only exists because of government subsidies.
James Victorino
James Victorino Oct 15, 2021 12:39PM ET
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NOWis ALLuHAVE  Honestly, I blame the Fed for creating the current market situation. It has turned into tulipmania as result of all the liquidity created from the pronlonged QE.  As a result, you have Meme stocks, such as companies that are on the verge bankruptcy and have recently increased their market caps by billions.  You have Tesla which generates just over $1.2 billion in profits with a market cap of over $800 billion. I have driven a Tesla and the vehicle felt cheap to me.
James Victorino
James Victorino Oct 15, 2021 12:39PM ET
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NOWis ALLuHAVE  At the end of the day, I don't know how the Fed is going to avoid a market crash when it does raise rates next year. A reset needs to occur because valuations are beyond stretched.  This is precisely why I believed that the Fed should done what Canada had done back in April...begin tapering asset purchases. Granted the NQ was already dropping when the 10 year yield began climbing above 1.6%.  Having the NQ go through a correction over a period of weeks is substantially better than having a makret crash. imo
Crystal Anna
Crystal Anna Oct 15, 2021 12:05PM ET
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Why 10 year up and down so much? Don’t understand why it dropped a lot after inflation number out and now climbing quickly. Anyone knows?
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NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 12:05PM ET
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Danke Glock  721K Americans didn't quit their jobs in August over failed contract negotiations...  And that was 2 months ago, hundreds of thousands more in the past 6 weeks.  It wasn't contract negotiations...  It wasn't weather... whatever it was you can bet your portfolio NBC news is not going to tell you the truth about it.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock Oct 15, 2021 12:05PM ET
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NOWis ALLuHAVE  at Kellog and Deere, “yes,” the deadline for an agreement had passed so the unions decided to strike.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock Oct 15, 2021 12:05PM ET
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NOWis ALLuHAVE  high quit rates is usually an indication of a strong labor market.  People don’t voluntarily leave their job if they aren’t confident they can find other employment.  Unless of course they are choosing to leave the labor force, such as taking early retirement.
Dave Jones
Dave Jones Oct 15, 2021 12:05PM ET
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10000 people deciding to take early retirement at the same time!!!🤣🤣🤣🤣 priceless!
Danke Glock
Danke Glock Oct 15, 2021 12:05PM ET
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Dave Jones  the 10,000 workers at John Deere went on strike.
Sandor Gruber
Sandor Gruber Oct 15, 2021 11:59AM ET
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Half time of trading time ,10y +3.5%   Maybe, EOD will be 5% ?
NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 11:13AM ET
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We don't have functioning markets anymore.  We don't have financial cycles.  The markets, cycles, & system are now completely & helplessly dependent upon the Fed.  The entire market hinges on every carefully scripted word & carefully planned action of the Fed.  IF / when the Fed stops the support (or) the people stop believing the Fed & the Fed Reserve Notes ends & that ending will be very quick & catastrophic.
NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 11:13AM ET
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JMHO, but based on what I'm seeing in the market & the world around me, I think we're literally days away from breaking points.  Global shipping is at a standstill, hundreds of thousands of Americans & military walked away from jobs & careers just this week, but stock markets are still roaring green.  It cannot continue.  Reality is coming, soon.
Ari Porges
Ari Porges Oct 15, 2021 11:13AM ET
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like Michael bury said the moder of all crashes
Margin Call
Margin Call Oct 15, 2021 10:51AM ET
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Scream timber
Margin Call
Margin Call Oct 15, 2021 10:47AM ET
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Recollapse tech
Market is Right
MarketisRight Oct 15, 2021 10:10AM ET
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Joe Lane
Joe Lane Oct 15, 2021 9:46AM ET
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I warned months ago that inflation was more systemic and would be higher for longer than the Fed was telling everyone. Now Powell is so far behind it is scary.
Seen see
ThurstonHowell Oct 15, 2021 9:46AM ET
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funny thing is has no plans of doing anything. this is all political
NOWis ALLuHAVE
NOWis ALLuHAVE Oct 15, 2021 9:46AM ET
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Seen see  I agree.  All political.  There's a battle going on behind the scenes for control over the next paradigm, the next monetary system,  The difference this time is it's not just political parties vying for control, the people are involved now.  The people have had enough of politics as usual.  Things are going to change & it's already started.
Javed Khan
Javed Khan Oct 15, 2021 9:42AM ET
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Inflation ahead
Millennial Metals
Millennial Metals Oct 15, 2021 9:11AM ET
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3.0 by next year
JAMES CUNHA
JAMES CUNHA Oct 15, 2021 8:38AM ET
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let me guess... yields will magically drop despite strong retail sales.
Martin King
Martin King Oct 15, 2021 8:38AM ET
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It means inflation waning
JAMES CUNHA
JAMES CUNHA Oct 15, 2021 8:38AM ET
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retail sales are also an indicator of inflation. higher demand puts pressure on prices to rise.
Martin King
Martin King Oct 15, 2021 8:38AM ET
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JAMES CUNHA  I suppose that's true but only because we're having supply problems
JAMES CUNHA
JAMES CUNHA Oct 15, 2021 8:38AM ET
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Martin King that could be the case. only time will tell. these things are always changing.
JAMES CUNHA
JAMES CUNHA Oct 15, 2021 8:38AM ET
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as it relates to the equity markets, i think we are nearing the inflection point before a major correction, especially for the Nasdaq. When you max out NQ futures chart, it is apparent that the second lower peak of the bubble is in the process of being shaped.
Pepe LePew
Pepe_LePew Oct 15, 2021 5:03AM ET
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REVENGE OF THE DOOMBURGER ! ! !
nik wallace
nik wallace Oct 15, 2021 2:30AM ET
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can it show 1•66 on monday
Danke Glock
Danke Glock Oct 15, 2021 2:30AM ET
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Is it possible? Yes.  Is it likely? No.
Not buying
Not buying Oct 15, 2021 1:11AM ET
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reverse h&s playing out in coming weeks
Not buying
Not buying Oct 15, 2021 1:11AM ET
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check out 5 yr chart
Bill Ackman
Bill Ackman Oct 15, 2021 12:00AM ET
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Economic strength is easily recognizable,a country should have trade surplus…Among trade surplus in 2020 Top 3 were China,Germany and Russia…Those 3 have real economic strength and growth…US economy is living off dollar as world reserve currency which is coming to an end as trade and budget deficit is at all time record high and it will have to go even higher through inflation xDDDD
Nick Smith
Nick Smith Oct 14, 2021 11:47PM ET
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The world financial system is so leveraged that if economy doesn't grow for just one year the whole system will crumble like a house of cards.
Danke Glock
Danke Glock Oct 14, 2021 11:47PM ET
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What do you mean the “system will crumble?”  Economies and markets go through corrections all the time and survive.
 
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