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United States 10-Year Bond Yield

NYSE
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
4.556
-0.093(-2.00%)
Delayed Data

United States 10-Year Discussions

Simple supply and demand, isn't it? US bonds are not popular. In order to issue more stimulus, more bonds need to be created. Thus rising inflation and bond yields. Previous stimulus helped boost the equity market in 2020 because of near zero interest rate. However, issuing more debts now via stimulus will guarantee runaway inflation. Thus FED will be forced to raise interest rates in the near future when you least expect it. Possibly very soon since no one expects it now. Of course, I could be wrong. Maybe more stimulus will help prop up the equity market. What are your thoughts? People keep talking about Japan and compare what is happening to US. However, I think Japanese yen is not the world currency that USD is.
You also have to keep in mind that the US personal savings rate increased last year. It’s commonly believed that printing money will lead to inflation, but inflationary pressures are mitigated if the veloctiy of money declines or aggregate output increases.
when do you envision reaching 4% on the 10-year. We were unable to achieve that rate when the unemployment rate was less than 4% and the economy was showing strength? Perhaps if the economy shows exceptional growth and real rates rise and inflation remains consitently at 2% or higher we can reach that, but we’re a long way from it now. You also have to consider the fed would step in to control rates if market become disorderly.
Agreed. But Japanese yen is the gold standard safe haven reserve currency.
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