Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

To buy or not to buy: Russian aluminium dilemma for Europe's buyers

Published 09/15/2022, 11:01 AM
Updated 09/15/2022, 11:59 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Aluminium ingots are seen stored at the foundry shop of the Rusal Krasnoyarsk aluminium smelter in Krasnoyarsk, Russia October 3, 2018. REUTERS/Ilya Naymushin

By Joan Faus

BARCELONA (Reuters) - Europe's power crisis, production cuts and shortages of aluminium have left consumers in a quandary about Russian supplies of the metal vital for the region's transport, construction and packaging industries.

Some are choosing to shun Rusal's metal, while others are more sanguine - pointing to the fact that neither the company nor its metal is under sanctions imposed on other Russian companies after Moscow's invasion of Ukraine in February.

Known in the industry as "the mating season", consumers and producers gathered at a conference in Barcelona this week to agree deals to buy and sell aluminium for next year.

Organisers declined to accredit Rusal's team for the event, without giving a clear reason, two sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. Rusal's team came to the city anyway, one of them added.

"Some people don't want Rusal's aluminium on moral grounds, because of the war in Ukraine," an aluminium trader in Barcelona told Reuters.

"Others are not worried because Rusal is still sanction free, though they are milking it, asking for discounts."

Major consumer Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) is one company that expects to keep buying Hong Kong-listed Rusal's aluminium.

Among those rejecting Russian metal for next year are one of the world's largest aluminium consumer, Novelis, a division of Hindalco Industries, and a unit of Norsk Hydro (OTC:NHYDY) supplying aluminium products to the auto and construction industries.

Some small companies in Europe, including Germany, decided not to sign up for Rusal's metal for next year, a trader told Reuters.

Some medium size companies have also decided to stop buying Russian aluminium from next year, Duncan Hobbs, an analyst for Concord Resources, told Reuters, without elaborating.

"We have hundreds of clients globally, representing one of the strongest and most diverse customer bases in the industry. Our business is not defined by those few who choose to buy their aluminium elsewhere," a Rusal representative told Reuters.

For some European consumers facing record high electricity prices, squeezed margins and regional shortages, a discount for Rusal's metal is attractive. There is currently a $100-$150 per tonne discount for Russian aluminium, a trader said.

Europe's aluminium output capacity is about 4.5 million tonnes. Of that, more than 1.1 million tonnes has been taken offline since 2021 and another 500,000 tonnes is under threat, Citi analysts say.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Aluminium ingots are seen stored at the foundry shop of the Rusal Krasnoyarsk aluminium smelter in Krasnoyarsk, Russia October 3, 2018. REUTERS/Ilya Naymushin

Companies with contracts for this year, agreed in 2021, have continued to buy aluminium from Rusal, the world's largest producer outside China, accounting for 6% of global supplies estimated at around 70 million tonnes this year.

"There is feeling that Russia wants to sell more aluminium than before," a European consumer told Reuters in Barcelona, adding that Rusal, fearing sanctions, could be seeking cash flow.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.