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S&P 500 Rallies as Grim Economic Data Fuels Bets on Fed Pause

Published 10/03/2022, 02:43 PM
Updated 10/03/2022, 03:48 PM
© Reuters

By Yasin Ebrahim

Investing.com -- The S&P 500 jumped Monday, starting the final quarter of the year on the front foot, led by tech and energy on hopes that signs of slowing growth will force the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of rate hikes.

The S&P 500 rose 2.8%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.9%, or 834 points, and the Nasdaq was up 2.5%.

A duo of weaker-than-expected economic reports showing manufacturing activity unexpectedly slipped into contraction, and construction activity was worse than feared, stoked optimism somewhat that the Fed may be forced to consider a pivot to avoid pushing the economy into a deep recession.

ISM manufacturing data  for September showed a drop to 50.9 from 52.8, well below economists’ forecasts for a drop to 52.2. A reading above 50 in the ISM index indicates an expansion in manufacturing, which accounts for about 12% of the U.S. economy.

The odds of the Fed delivering its fourth-consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike fell 59% from 72% a week ago, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

Treasury yields fell sharply as investors priced in the prospect of a less hawkish path of monetary policy tightening.

The 10-year Treasury yield fell from more-than-a-decade highs, with further easing likely ahead as it “remains very overbought on a short-term basis,” Janney Montgomery Scott said in a note.  

Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) rose more than 3%.

Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON), meanwhile, announced an agreement to supply Hilton-branded hotels in the U.S with its fitness bikes, as CEO Barry McCarthy ramps up efforts to turn around the fortunes of the connected fitness-equipment company. Its shares were up about 7%.

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Energy, up about 4%, also did some of the heavy lifting in the broader market melt-up on media reports that OPEC and its allies, known as OPEC+, are mulling slashing output by more than 1 million barrels per day ahead of Wednesday’s meeting.

Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO) was up more nearly 11%, while Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) and APA Corporation (NASDAQ:APA) were up more than 9%

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), meanwhile, slumped 8% after reporting that it delivered 343,000 vehicles in the third quarter, missing Wall Street estimates of between 358,000 and 371,000 vehicles.

Following the announcement, JPMorgan said it remained wary of Tesla’s valuation and continued to “see large downside to our price target [of $153],” suggesting about 37% downside from Tesla's current price. 

Latest comments

In my trading account, I am short on this market because of the financial malfeasance of the government, the Fed, and central banks. Obviously, today was not great, but took profits from my long positions and opened a couple more TQQQ puts, and bought a couple of shares of SQQQ in addition to what I had, going by the previous patterns tomorrow will be a big red day again, if not then Weds when the Fed talks or Thurs at the latest if the pump bois manage to hang on that long.
Market manipulation at its best.
Intraday volatility magically vanishes.  BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
When did the FED actually say anything about pivoting? We heard this story before by the forever hopeful.
Market grasping at straws - FED already made clear they will do anything it takes to get inflation down and keep it down. Energy prices also rising and OPEC might be cutting supply on Wednesday so get ready for inflation to start rising from Nov / Dec
It's going up because Friday saw intraday 52wk lows and there's no major data released today. The data that was released is negative and the Fed has said repeatedly that they won't pause until there is a significant decrease in inflation. Market will be red tomorrow with a headline of "market crashes because investors sobered up."
Can see it green tomorrow - Red on Wed after Opec meets and energy starts rising again
Save the stonk market! Ef the people
They never learn do they? They also thought the FED would stop and insisted on pumping the market during the whole fake rally of August
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