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S&P 500 jumps as Fed's Bostic rules out support for return to aggressive Fed hikes

Published 03/02/2023, 01:47 PM
Updated 03/02/2023, 03:55 PM
© Reuters.

By Yasin Ebrahim

Investing.com -- The S&P 500 rallied after paring losses Thursday as Treasury yields eased from session highs after Atlanta Federal Reserve president Raphael Bostic ruled out backing a return to more aggressive Fed rate hikes and said the central bank pause by mid-to-late summer. 

The S&P 500 rose 0.11%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.57%, or 186 points, and the Nasdaq Composite was down 0.1%.

"Right now, I'm still very firmly in the quarter-point move camp," Bostic said, in a roundtable with reporters on Thursday. 

The remarks eased worries that the fed could be forced to revert to more aggressive 50 basis point rate hikes following strong economic data.

Data showing a jump in labor costs in the fourth quarter and fewer than expected initial jobless claims pushed the 10-Year and 2-Year Treasury yields to levels not seen in more than a decade.  

“Whatever the reason that jobless claims have remained subdued, the bottom line is that labor supply is not increasing in any meaningful way, and there is no evidence that this will change any time soon,” Jefferies said in a note.

The strong data and hawkish remarks from several Fed members earlier this week have forced some on Wall Street to price in more aggressive Fed rate hikes and lower earnings.

Wells Fargo pushed back its call on recession and now expects an economic downturn in the second half of the year, and said it expects interest rates to stay higher for longer.

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“We’ve reduced our year-end 2023 target for the S&P 500 Index and raised our target range for the federal funds rate to 5.25% to 5.5%,” it added.

Financials were the biggest drag on the market, with regional banks leading to the downside despite a surge in yields, which tends to boost margins on lending.  

Principal Financial (NASDAQ:PFG), Signature Bank (NASDAQ:SBNY), and Zions Bancorporation (NASDAQ:ZION) were among the biggest losers on the day.

Cryptocurrency bank Silvergate Capital Corp (NYSE:SI), meanwhile, extended losses after plunging 55% after delaying its annual report and raised concerns about its ability to survive following the impact of the collapse of FTX and the slump in the crypto market.

Utilities and consumer staples were among the top gainers on the day, with the latter also helped by a 5% jump in grocery chain Kroger.

Kroger (NYSE:KR) reported better-than-expected guidance that overshadowed mixed fourth-quarter results as revenue fell short of Wall Street estimates.

Macy’s (NYSE:M), meanwhile, reported quarterly earnings that beat expectations, sending the department store chain's shares more than 10% higher.

“We were encouraged to see the well-controlled inventory balance entering the year, and believe that strong momentum and clean stocks suggest an opportunity for Macy’s to generate a healthier profit than peers for the year,” Goldman Sachs said in a note.

Salesforce (NYSE:CRM) surged more than 12% after reporting fourth-quarter results and guidance that topped Wall Street estimates and that “will silence the doubters,” Wedbush said amid ongoing activist investor interest in the cloud-based software company.

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Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD), meanwhile, climbed 2% on reports that activist investor Dan Loeb's Third Point had taken a passive stake in the chipmaker.

In other news, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) detailed plans to lower costs at its investor day on Wednesday, but failed to provide an update on plans to launch a more affordable electric car, sending its shares more than 6% lower.

“[W]e believe many investors were hoping for more specifics on when a third generation vehicle could be shipping, and therefore the lack of clarity beyond the comment that they’re working as fast as they can and it could be in the next couple of years is likely to be viewed as a disappointment to some,” Goldman Sachs said in a note.

Latest comments

Congress is dirty too, don't see any real servants just wealthy elite in the entrenched lifelong politicians, a good cleansing and new blood but not necessarily from the fringes of either party
Marjorie Taylor Green.
How embarrassing is this.
Are all of them dirty?  Four others including Powell have done similar. Maybe we need to rethink the shyster way the fed was actually created and give power and economy back to the people
ernie, history has proven that to be a disaster...
  I shutter at the thought of Congress taking on monetary policy.  I'm kinda think  Congress should delegate its duty w/ fiscal policy, too.
* shudder
Reuters - 10/14/22 - Bostic Acknowledges Accidental Trading That Violated Fed's Ethics Code - Atlanta Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic on Friday said that over the last few years some of his personal investing activity inadvertently happened in periods where it was forbidden by U.S. central bank ethics rules at the time. Due to my reliance on a third-party manager, I was unaware of any specific trades or their timing, including a limited number that took place during the FOMC blackout periods or financial stress periods," Bostic wrote. "Similarly, I was unaware of when my holdings of U.S. Treasury funds in 2021 exceeded the limits set forth by the FOMC's trading and investing rules." JUST ANOTHER GREEDY BANKER. NOTHING TO SEE, HERE EVERYONE MOVE ALONG.
At least Bostic acknowledges it and did not calling himself "smart" or "stable genius" and did not call the investigation a "witch hunt" and "rigged".
Bostic is NOT just some guy. He is the PRESIDENT of the Federal Reserve Bank Of Atlanta and would not have risen to the level of achievement he has attained without being pretty smart. So, the idea he would hire a third party manager who proceeded to make trades during the BLACKOUT period (ON SEVERAL OCCASSIONS) without first consulting Bostic (hey, is it OK for me to trade during a blackout period?) seems like a bit of a stretch. However, what this money manager DID do was to create a nice buffer for Bostic (It WASN'T me, it was my manager)
No aggressive hikes? There will still be  hikes? Guess they aren't really fighting inflation then? I know all the answers to my questions: STOCKS UP!!!.
yes sir. when fundamentials get too bad, somebody makes good news, keeping the train in the rails.
can someone tell me if that crazy bullish movement of sp500 is another trap?
No it's not. Markets always have upward movement until bad data. Then reaction can be delayed. My guess is we go up at least until the next inflation numbers. I'm confident that the FED will only increase .25% on the 22nd. Be ready for a rally.
today data was bad. Eu inflation is increasing. us inflation is increasing, rates will be higher. this are the news last days. fundamental sucks . it may go up, however this wall street, mafia.
hello
is this the same Fed member who doesn't get a vote and accused of illegal trading?  sounds like a pump and dump
When you want to believe, you don't need a god to appear to you.
Yes.  Plenty of earthly deplorable con men will tell the people what they want to believe.
There's really not much to say....BIGGEST INVESTMENT JOKE IN THE WORLD.
"not much to say"  --  Based on how much you do say, ...
One idiot speaks, markets change
So lets margin our accounts on crap fundamentals…..nope
Wells Fargo must have an army of PHD financial analysts  predicting the future and they predict recession but a few sentences from a non-voting fed member and Wells fargo flushes all the work of their analysts down the toilet?  I'd like to see CNBC put a floor broker on the air to say he/she bought/sold based on either euphoria or panic. Headlines are what they want you to believe and have little to do with reality.
The Fed's priority is not the bears' long puts or shorts.  Bears should take their lumps w/ grace and not act like Trump losing an election.
First Last.. missing the point, as usual
  Or you missing the point
he has no vote
WTF !!! When talking about lowering rates to .25, this same citizen said in December that he should be more aggressive. Now, when it is said that the FED will be aggressive, does this same individual say that it should be softer? Look for his lines, because he is always saying the opposite. They should investigate him.
The Fed is the enemy of the people
without the fed, we would have gone into a major economic depression in 2008....
Wondering Bostic is who's sock puppet.........
Raphael Bostic is only ONE out of all Fed members and there’s Chairman. Majority Members need to be on board otherwise Chairman going continue Bearing until PPI/CPI improves.
NOT EVEN A VOTING FED MEMBER
No offense, but I’m not trusting the word of a token ⚫️ fed member
"token"?
So Bostic's comments override all other FED members. Keep on buying those overvalued stocks!!!
Imagine betting your entire retirement on the fiat American consumer debt bubble
What do you bet "your entire retirement on"?
a combination of foreign value and commodity company stocks
  Over the past 12-months, the S&P GSCI down 21.2%, underperforming the SPY.  Over last 12 months, foreign value has beaten SPY, but on par w/ US value.
Fed's Bostics spoke.
Bostic did speak this afternoon.  Six idiots so far disagree w/ this fact.
More often than not it is BS. If the fed actually saw an impending economic collapse the last thing they would do is tell everyone. What we would hear is a rosy scenario as the top of the food chain dump everything they own.
mitch, your past posts make your arguments meaningless.
Nothing to see here, just another miracle in the US Ponzi Scheme, greatest financial FRAUD in history.  Inanimate stocks "shake off" another loss as "investors" from around the globe decide to pour in all at one time just before 2.  Once again, the most prolific headline in internet news history appears, "US Stocks Recover Losses."  And of course they're doing so by "ignoring" or "shaking off" something per the script.  How can anyone take this CRIMINALLY MANIPULATED JOKE seriously?
 Mitch is just perroting the anti Wall-Street bla-bla you can always read from bitter tasters. I have replied them several times to others and I'm just tired to do it for the 20th time. If somebody hates markets, watch a film instead. Markets were manipulation, always. And it will be always. Manipulation up, manipulation down. And I mean manipulation not only in its bad meaning. I agree with him about the headlines, however if you look back to anytime stock market headlines were always like that.
  Manipulation, "in its bad meaning", means the market is not moving the way someone thinks it should.  It's a baseless accusation most of the time here.
markets move on precieved risk.....t
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