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Asia buoyed by post-election Wall St rally, dollar bounces

Published 11/08/2018, 03:00 AM
Updated 11/08/2018, 03:00 AM
© Reuters. Passersbys walk past an electronic board showing Japan's Nikkei average outside a brokerage in Tokyo

By Shinichi Saoshiro

TOKYO (Reuters) - Asian stocks scaled a one-month peak on Thursday, after investors drove a Wall Street rally on relief the U.S. midterm elections delivered no major political surprises, while the dollar bounced and pulled away from 2-1/2-week lows.

Spreadbetters expected European stocks to follow Asia higher at the open, with Britain's FTSE (FTSE) seen adding 0.36 percent, Germany's DAX (GDAXI) rising 0.55 percent and France's CAC (FCHI) climbing 0.45 percent.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) was last up 0.8 percent to stand at its highest since Oct. 8.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng (HSI) advanced 0.9 percent and the Shanghai Composite Index (SSEC) climbed 0.2 percent, receiving a mild lift from China's stronger-than-expected October exports data.

Australian stocks (AXJO) rose 0.5 percent, South Korea's KOSPI (KS11) added 1.3 percent and Japan's Nikkei (N225) gained 1.8 percent.

Wall Street's main indexes rose more than 2 percent on Wednesday, led by the technology and healthcare sectors as the market breathed a sigh of relief after the U.S. midterm elections, in which Democrats wrested control of the House of Representatives and Republicans retained the Senate. (N)

"Going forward, we think the removal of uncertainty and realization of the expected outcome should be supportive for risk assets," Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) analysts said in a report.

While a divided Congress will make it harder for President Donald Trump to push through new legislation, such as additional tax cuts, investors do not expect a reversal of recently enacted tax cuts and deregulation.

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"The key point after the midterm elections is that U.S. stocks showed they had developed immunity towards higher yields. The last time long-term Treasury yields were at this level a month ago, they had helped trigger a major fall by stocks," said Junichi Ishikawa, senior FX strategist at IG Securities in Tokyo.

"Steady U.S. fundamentals will support this trend of equities and yields rising in tandem, which should also prop up the dollar in the longer term."

The 10-year Treasury note yield

The dollar index against a basket of six major currencies gained 0.2 percent to 96.177 (DXY), pulling back from 95.678 plumbed on Wednesday, its lowest since Oct. 22.

That low for the greenback was driven by a knee-jerk reaction to the U.S. midterm election results, with a divided Congress seen dulling Trump's fiscal stimulus drive.

Some focus was also on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy due later on Thursday. The Fed, however, is not expected to hike interest rates until its next gathering in December and analysts expected this meeting to have limited market impact.

The central bank has tightened monetary policy three times in 2018, with the latest rate hike coming in September.

"A split Congress is unlikely to materially alter the Fed's near-term hiking trajectory and the Fed will be biased to keep raising rates until the data or financial conditions turn," strategists at Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) wrote.

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The euro was up 0.05 percent at $1.1432 (EUR=) after pulling back sharply from a high of $1.1500 brushed earlier on Wednesday.

The dollar was a shade higher at 113.62 yen

In commodities, U.S. crude futures (CLc1) inched up 0.1 percent to $61.73 a barrel after falling to an eight-month trough of $61.20 on Wednesday.

Brent crude (LCOc1) dipped 0.08 percent to $72.01 a barrel following a loss of 1.4 percent the previous day.

Oil prices struggled after surging U.S. crude output hit another record and domestic inventories rose more than expected.

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