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Stocks jump on virus slowdown hopes, but oil slips on oversupply

Published 04/05/2020, 08:03 PM
Updated 04/06/2020, 04:07 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A pump jack operates in front of a drilling rig at sunset in an oil field in Texas

By Swati Pandey and Paulina Duran

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Stocks jumped on Monday as investors were encouraged by a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new cases, while oil prices skidded after Saudi-Russian negotiations to cut output were delayed, keeping oversupply concerns alive.

Equity investors took solace as the death toll from the coronavirus slowed across major European nations including France and Italy.

U.S. stock futures rose 4% in Asian hours, trading close to its upper limit after U.S. President Donald Trump expressed hope the country was seeing a "levelling off" of the coronavirus crisis.

London's FTSE was up 3.2% in early trading, while Germany's DAX index was 4% higher.

"The stabilisation we are seeing in the market today is welcomed but it is something really fragile," said Frank Benzimra, head of Asia equity strategy at Societe Generale (PA:SOGN).

In commodity markets, Brent crude fell as much as $4 after Saudi Arabia and Russia postponed their meeting, initially scheduled for Monday, to Thursday even as the virus pandemic pummels demand.

"With a very light calendar globally today, there is enough momentum to keep the equity rally running through the course of the day and also into European time," said Jeffrey Halley, Senior Market Analyst, Asia Pacific, OANDA.

"All bets are off after that although I could see a couple of days of positive sentiment ahead, especially if those mortality rates keep falling."

In currency markets, sterling fell 0.06% in Asia after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson was admitted to hospital following persistent coronavirus symptoms 10 days after testing positive for the virus.

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In Asia, Australia's benchmark index rose 4.33%; Japan's Nikkei added 4.24% after a slow start while South Korea's KOSPI index climbed 3.85%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index was 2.18% higher.

That sent MSCI's broadest index of Asian shares outside of Japan up almost 2.03%, on track for its best performance in over a week.

Markets in mainland China were closed for a public holiday.

Worryingly, the number of new coronavirus cases jumped in China on Sunday while the number of asymptomatic cases surged too as Beijing continued to struggle to extinguish the outbreak despite drastic containment efforts.

"Focus in markets will now turn to the path out of lockdown and to what extent containment measures can be lifted without risking a second wave of infections," National Australia Bank analyst Tapas Strickland wrote in a note.

"Key to a strong rebound in China will be the ongoing lifting of containment measures with Wuhan – the epicentre of the outbreak – set to lift containment measures on April 8."

Strickland, however, noted many in China were still subject to social distancing and isolation restrictions to prevent a resurgence in infections.

The pandemic has claimed more than 68,000 lives and infected over a million people globally. The United States has the highest number of reported cases, at over 300,000.

Concerns about heavy damage to the global economy have pushed investors into the perceived safety of government bonds where yields are at or near all-time lows.

"One of the major concerns of markets at the moment is the extent and the soundness of the recovery in production that we are seeing in China and other Asian countries," SocGen's Benzimra added.

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Elsewhere in currencies, the dollar gained 0.4% against the yen to 108.93..

The euro was barely moved at $1.0819 while the risk sensitive Australian dollar was up 0.6% at $0.6037. The pound was last down 0.02% at $1.2266.

In commodities, Brent crude futures was down nearly 1.23%, or 42 cents, at $33.69 a barrel while U.S. crude slipped 1.83%, or 52 cents, to $27.82.

Spot gold added 0.54% to $1,625.2 an ounce.

Latest comments

I hope that the Oil will bounce up this week
We're in a world of hurt on this virus. As of yesterday morning at 8:00 am we had our highest number of new cases of the virus for the previous 24 hours- 33 ,000. As of 8:00 pm Sunday night the US had 26,000 new cases for the 12 hour period. At 8:00 this morning I anticipatean extremely high number for the last 24 hours. The virus is not peaked yet in the U.S. Just getting fired up. FAKE NEWS!!
To cut things short,it will give below 26 closing todayyy..
Trump said maybe no needed to tariff on oil means still US di nothing about self oil cut. Remember, Saudi and Russia constantly requested to US to participate in oil reduction, or neither they. Too much OVER SHOOTING made in today's MARTKET
ot over cornavirus fears stop with the fake news. anything that goes up 20 to 30% in short term period will have short term investors sell and take profits. It has momentum to go well over 30 dollars this morning.
Shorts will continue to lose. Stop fighting this the virus is done
Where have you been ? As of yesterday at 8:00 am we had our worst day of virus gains do far at 33,000 new cases. Today will be worse. As of 8:00 PM last night we had 26,000 for that 12 hour period. FAKE NEWS!!
US market rally after Trump's misunderstaning of virus character. Many countries that suffered by virus early than US, in fact No one is back to normal life, all of them are suffering 2st, 3st virus unfinished attacks. Base on that, as Trump declared yesterday, Virus can not be conquered enough to reopen the economy yet, and it will takes 5~6months or may be more than 1year. Only one thing very clear is economical recovery can not be done in this year, maybe after some times. Let me guess, all of air plane, hospitality industries come back is real level of recovery. In orevious many many cases it takes almost 2 years for Oil price come to normal. Today's rally is can be called like this, EMOTIONAL OVER SHOOTING.
there is no exit strategy from the lockdown. even if we reach Apex, what next? Lifting restrictions will speed up covid again
Expect more sell-offs after today. Dow will not be able to maintain pace. More deaths expected in US. Putin and Saudi will reach deadlock on oil.
This is perhaps another one of Trump's deals that are always on the verge of getting done and don't.
its already baked into the market. You noobs never get it you guys always short to late when the shorties are leaving and buying back into the market after its over sold. Market is gona make new highs by end of the year. To much qe stimulus and 0 interest rates is great for stock market regardless of this fake news covid *****
March 24th we had 700 plus deaths and 200 plus new deaths a day with a death rate of less than 1%. Friday we had 9,000 with 1,321 new deaths and a death rate of 2.85%. What am I missing? We are not testing everyone, and the people who are cleared are just as likely to contract it after the test. Where is the plateau? The president just said today we are still looking at 100,000 deaths on the Low side and we are only 9% there.
They got the money support after the big drop. That's all that matter. Looks that all the news are useless, they will start using them as usual, positive and negative ones the same. The important thing is that with the FED backing and banking them up everything is better. Enjoy the blablabla.
oil is reounding
virus slowdown??? test slow down??
Price is rigged ,
I would like airlines to have seats 6 feet apart .
it is just a virus it was handled very poorly by the media cdc who and everyone. We have created a Pandemic of nonsense . The Cure is worse than the disease .
Nothing will be as it was until everyone is naturally immune or there is a vaccine.
Virus ain't slowing just look at the growth in new cases in the US. 25,000 on April 1 now up to 34,000 a day today. Maybe another 2-3 for peak in US.
When will this uncertainty end!
Watch the covid19 videos of Ecuador... that'll give you and idea of how much this sheet is slowing
oil down sig, equity futures up sig. will the always wrong leftists ever get just one call correctly?
the market loves making fools of all of us. Welcome to the ride. Hop on board
'investors' to mean the algorythms
Wake up its all over buy now
Oh, how about last week?
Markets looking for the smallest of positive news on the virus.
I wouldn't be surprised to see them fade the open. After that, perhaps a bearish double-top and sooner or later, likely by the end of the day, it's gonna be in the red again.__ Any excuse to unload their longs, or day-trade a rising 10 minute until it rolls over and they short into a declining 10 minute. The algos are good at doing just that.
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