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Netflix's paid sharing is a tailwind to advertising revenue and subscribers - Oppenheimer raises target

Published 05/24/2023, 06:48 AM
Updated 05/24/2023, 06:48 AM
Netflix's (NFLX) paid sharing is a tailwind to advertising revenue and subscribers - Oppenheimer raises target

Oppenheimer analysts raised their price target on Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) to $450 from $415 and maintained an Outperform rating on the shares, as the company is launching a new Paid Sharing plan where customers can choose to pay extra $7.99 per additional household stream.

In their latest report, the analysts cite a recent Oppenheimer survey of 1,800 US-based Netflix customers which showed "healthy propensity to pay for 'remote' users," and demonstrated that "some abandoned users are willing to pay for their own subscription."

As the company is set to pull the plug on password-sharing, the poll demonstrated that 48% of respondents said they currently support 'free' users outside their household, and 45% said they're happy to pay for remote users, "suggesting potential for ~36M new subs," based on ~75M US subscribers.

Furthermore, "55% of account owners have no willingness to pay for extra households, representing 20M of potential “ad-tier” subscribers. In addition, 27% of account owners willing to pay $6.99 (Standard with Ads account) for at least one “remote” user adding 10M subs. Combined this equals ~30M potential new subs."

As such, the analysts maintained an Outperform rating on shares, and raised their target to $450 "because of the multiple tailwinds, including decreased competition, long term unwind of linear TV, the launch of advertising & password sharing."

NFLX closed at $355.99 yesterday, and is up over 20% YTD.

 

Latest comments

how are firms like this even allowed to work in finance? pathetic its very unrealistic to think nearly all the shared users will subscribe, especially with what we seen in pilot countires, but don't worry they're asked 2000 people. oppenheimer have been wrong on nearly every call for the last few years and I can't see it changing anytime soon with research like this.
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