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S&P 500 ends lower, snapping rally on mounting slowdown fears

Stock Markets Oct 26, 2022 06:55PM ET
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© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A Wall Street sign outside the New York Stock Exchange in New York City, New York, U.S., October 2, 2020. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri//File Photo/File Photo/File Photo/File Photo
 
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By Stephen Culp

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended a three-day winning streak on Wednesday, closing in negative territory as gloomy earnings guidance added to growing fears of a global economic slowdown.

But those fears, along with a smaller-than-expected interest rate hike from the Bank of Canada, continued to feed hopes that the Fed might consider easing the size of its rate hikes after its Nov. 1-2 policy meeting.

"Today the market is catching up with the move upward over the last week or so," said Matthew Keator, managing partner in the Keator Group, a wealth management firm in Lenox, Massachusetts. "There are still two Fed meetings ahead of us this year."

Paul Kim, Chief Executive Officer at Simplify ETFs in New York, agrees.

"Central banks are starting to blink," Kim said. "It’s part of the larger trend and supports the pivot narrative."

GRAPHIC: Central banks ramp up fight against inflation https://graphics.reuters.com/EUROZONE-MARKETS/movakmlgxva/chart.png

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq ended in negative territory, dragged lower by market-leading tech and tech-adjacent companies following results from Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL). The blue-chip Dow eked out a nominal gain.

Microsoft and Alphabet shares tanked, falling 7.7% and 9.1%, respectively.

Those downbeat reports brought worries over an impending global economic downturn from simmer to boil, and spread to other high profile megacaps.

Sales of newly constructed U.S. homes plunged in September while mortgage rates hit their highest level in more than two decades, adding to the growing pile of data suggesting a softening economic landscape.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 2.37 points, or 0.01%, to 31,839.11, the S&P 500 lost 28.51 points, or 0.74%, to 3,830.6 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 228.12 points, or 2.04%, to 10,970.99.

Five of the 11 major sectors of the S&P 500 ended the session in the red, with communications services and tech were suffering the largest percentage losses.

Third quarter earnings season has shifted into high gear, with 170 of the companies in the S&P 500 having reported. Of those, 75% have delivered consensus-beating results, according to Refinitiv.

But they have a low bar to clear. Analysts see aggregate S&P 500 earnings growth of 2.3%, down from 4.5% at the beginning of the month, per Refinitiv.

"There have been pockets of promising corporate earnings announcements this quarter," Keator added. "I don’t think it's necessarily a fait accompli that we’re going to continue to see earnings misses across the board."

Boeing (NYSE:BA) Co reported a deeper than expected third quarter loss, sending its shares sliding 8.8%.

On the plus side, Visa Inc (NYSE:V) rose 4.6% in the wake of the consumer credit company's profit beat.

Facebook (NASDAQ:META) parent Meta Inc shares fell more than 12% in after-hours trading after posting results.

Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.71-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.41-to-1 ratio favored advancers.

The S&P 500 posted 25 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 113 new highs and 77 new lows.

Volume on U.S. exchanges was 12.26 billion shares, compared with the 11.60 billion average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.

S&P 500 ends lower, snapping rally on mounting slowdown fears
 

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Comments (30)
JIM VETTER
JIM VETTER Oct 26, 2022 6:52PM ET
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If you're a believer in candlestick patterns, today's $SPY looks like a textbook shooting star. I guess we'll see.
animus advertere
animus advertere Oct 26, 2022 3:22PM ET
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Everything supports the fed pivot narrative -- in the minds of the delusional. In reality, it depends only on inflation. At best they might deny 25 bp for a meeting or two. If they do, they will have to add 50 bp later on. By the time inflation is coming down, we will be well into a deep global recession. (Already begun in at least China and Europe.)
Matt Kay
Matt Kay Oct 26, 2022 3:22PM ET
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why would inflation come down? their balance sheet is still 9 trillion!! reverse repo account at 2.4 trillion. we need to start burning cash not raising rates
Mitchel Pioneer
Mitchel Pioneer Oct 26, 2022 3:18PM ET
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How about that....More "late trade" magic...Criminally manipulated JOKE.
Stoyan Trifonov
D1I1I Oct 26, 2022 3:07PM ET
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today we have one those phenomena stock, bonds and vix go down. how?
Takis Karalivanos
Takis Karalivanos Oct 26, 2022 3:07PM ET
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and USD. Disastrous day
Jimmy Tsang
Jimmy Tsang Oct 26, 2022 3:04PM ET
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Earning miss? The analysts didnt put in the inflation, potential recession factors into the estimation and over expect, these so called bankers are the cancers of the global economy, they are all criminals
kaushal shah
kaushal shah Oct 26, 2022 2:37PM ET
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buy dow at this level for another 1000 point up move
Stephane Adam
Stephane Adam Oct 26, 2022 2:21PM ET
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Slower rate hikes are still rising rates. These are not a pivot and rate drops  Next up, recession and falling corporate earnings. I think the market is getting a little too excited, the Shiller PE of the SP 500 is still too high for my taste. At current prices, I don't buy anything.
Casador Del Oso
Casador Del Oso Oct 26, 2022 2:21PM ET
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The Fed could pivot on QT, possibly to save foreign currencies. But not pivot on monetary policy and keep raising interest rates.
First Last
First Last Oct 26, 2022 2:21PM ET
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Currently we're near 30-year average, according to:  www.morningstar.com/articles/1115121/have-stocks-become-cheap  (last two figures)
mark johnson
mark johnson Oct 26, 2022 2:21PM ET
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Could buy some inverse funds no? How about inverse Europe who are shutting down factories EPV, inverse nasdaq with QID, PSQ, inverse AARK innovation funds with SARK, inverse SPACs with SOGU, INVERSE CHINA 300 CHAD inverse china 50 FXP. Seem to work for me last couple months. I will probably get some more TMV this week and EQNR
Grant McBride
Grant McBride Oct 26, 2022 2:12PM ET
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3rd update to headline needed.
Casador Del Oso
Casador Del Oso Oct 26, 2022 1:19PM ET
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As stated by Mr. Powell, the Fed's mission is to lower inflation even if it causes economic growth to slow. So why are investors expecting the Fed to slow the pace of rate increases if economic growth slows? Investors should only expect the Fed to slow the pace of rate increases if inflation decreases.
Kris Jay
Kris Jay Oct 26, 2022 1:19PM ET
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the idea that all dips have V shaped recovery.  and there may be politics in there too, with the WSJ article positioned right before mid-term elections with claims the Fed will slow hikes based on SFO's Mary Daly.
First Last
First Last Oct 26, 2022 1:19PM ET
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Your 1st sentence anwsers your 2nd sentence:  If economic growth slows, then inflation lowers, then Fed slow pace of rate increases.
me ish
me ish Oct 26, 2022 1:19PM ET
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First Last  not necessarily - stagflation is very low to slowing growth whilst inflation remains high - and that is very likely to occur due to systemic lack of energy in the world partially due to lack of investment over the past few years and secondly deglobalisation as companies relocate away from China and often to higher cost countries including home - and thirdly the demographic time bomb as there are fewer workers due to vax mandates, unexpected deaths due to you know what and baby boomer retiring - there isn't the skilled workforce to replace them - all this leads to long term systemic higher prices long term - and with the FED printing 7 trillion USD and Biden's inflation reduction act which just creates billions more out of thin air, you can expect inflation to run high for years to come - no matter how dying the economy is - that's the reality of the situation so we're in for very grim few years ahead.
First Last
First Last Oct 26, 2022 1:19PM ET
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me ish   Your scenario is possible.  But Casador asked "why are investors expecting" and investors are expecting what I said to happen as base case.
Llewellyn Kruger
Llewellyn Kruger Oct 26, 2022 1:02PM ET
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Here we go once again.
 
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