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JPMorgan cuts China growth forecast to 3.7% from 4.3%

Published 05/23/2022, 06:49 AM
Updated 05/23/2022, 06:50 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A construction site is pictured in Beijing, China April 14, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang

LONDON (Reuters) - U.S. investment bank JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) cut its China full-year growth forecast from 4.3% to 3.7% on Monday, saying a deeper-than-expected contraction was now likely this quarter due to the country's COVID-19 lockdowns.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A construction site is pictured in Beijing, China April 14, 2022. REUTERS/Tingshu Wang

The cut takes JPMorgan's estimate well below the 5.5% Beijing has said it hopes to achieve this year and below the 4% level another major U.S. investment bank, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), predicted last week.

"On the positive side, the darkest period might be behind us," JPMorgan's analysts said, pointing to a fall in the number of new COVID-19 cases in China last week.

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