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Intel's 'historic collapse' erases $8 billion from market value

Stock Markets Jan 27, 2023 04:36PM ET
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© Reuters. Visitors are seen at the Intel booth during the China Digital Entertainment Expo and Conference, also known as ChinaJoy, in Shanghai, China July 30, 2021. REUTERS/Aly Song
 
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By Aditya Soni and Nivedita Balu

(Reuters) - Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC) saw about $8 billion wiped off its market value on Friday after the U.S. chipmaker stumped Wall Street with dismal earnings projections, fanning fears around a slump in the personal-computer market.

The company predicted a surprise loss for the first quarter and its revenue forecast was $3 billion below estimates as it also struggled with slowing growth in the data center business.

Intel shares closed 6.4% lower, while rival Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ:AMD) and Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) ended the session up 0.3% and 2.8%, respectively. Intel supplier KLA Corp settled 6.9% lower after its dismal forecast.

"No words can portray or explain the historic collapse of Intel," said Rosenblatt Securities' Hans Mosesmann, who was among the 21 analysts to cut their price targets on the stock.

Graphic 1: Intel predicts its worst quarter since dot-com bubble after disaster quarter Intel predicts its worst quarter since dot-com bubble after disaster quarter, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/INTEL-STOCKS/gdvzqwzrzpw/chart.png

The poor outlook underscored the challenges facing Chief Executive Pat Gelsinger as he tries to reestablish Intel's dominance of the sector by expanding contract manufacturing and building new factories in the United States and Europe.

The company has been steadily losing market share to rivals like AMD, which has used contract chipmakers such as Taiwan-based TSMC to make chips that outpace Intel's technology.

"AMD's Genoa and Bergamo (data center) chips have a strong price-performance advantage compared to Intel's Sapphire Rapids processors, which should drive further AMD share gains," said Matt Wegner, analyst at YipitData.

Graphic 2: AMD set to overtake Intel in market cap, again AMD set to overtake Intel in market cap, again, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/INTEL-STOCKS/INTEL-STOCKS/klpygzxkmpg/Intel-AMD.jpg

Analysts said that puts Intel at a disadvantage even when the data center market bottoms out, expected in the second half of 2022, as the company would have lost even more share by then.

"It is now clear why Intel needs to cut so much cost as the company's original plans prove to be fantasy," brokerage Bernstein said.

"The magnitude of the deterioration is stunning, and brings potential concern to the company's cash position over time."

Intel, which plans to cut $3 billion in costs this year, generated $7.7 billion in cash from operations in the fourth quarter and paid dividends of $1.5 billion.

With capital expenditure estimated to be around $20 billion in 2023, analysts said the company should consider cutting its dividend.

Graphic 3: Intel's spending to claw back share hurts margins, https://www.reuters.com/graphics/INTEL-STOCKS/znvnbzyzwvl/chart.png

Intel's 'historic collapse' erases $8 billion from market value
 

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Comments (5)
jason xx
jason xx Jan 27, 2023 4:45PM ET
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Intel is trash and becoming a manufacturer is not going to save them. They can't even get design right nevermind manufacturing.
Casador Del Oso
Casador Del Oso Jan 27, 2023 12:00PM ET
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This dog never reached ATHs from the early 2000s.
Milan Shukla
Milan Shukla Jan 27, 2023 11:34AM ET
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companies will now start suspending dividends to keep balance sheet neat
mark johnson
mark johnson Jan 27, 2023 11:22AM ET
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Intel needs to invest in a chip that comes close to NVDA or AMD. Only if geopolitical issues with Taiwan foundries will INTC ever again compete with AMD and the gang.
Ronald Warren
Ronald Warren Jan 27, 2023 11:16AM ET
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A fantastic buying opportunity soon, if they can hold on. Intel plans to invest 100 billion on a chip plant in Ohio and 20 billion on a plant in Arizona. We need domestic production. I hope they pull it off and make investors a ton of money!!
John Lakran
John Lakran Jan 27, 2023 11:16AM ET
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I agree some risk here but turnarounds take time and foundry in America is the future if they can pull their manufacturing together one and for all
 
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