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Home Depot Cuts Sales Outlook on Tariffs, Lumber Price Deflation

Published 08/20/2019, 06:17 AM
Updated 08/20/2019, 12:47 PM
© Reuters.  Home Depot Cuts Sales Outlook on Tariffs, Lumber Price Deflation

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Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD). cut its revenue forecast on lumber price deflation and concern that President Donald Trump’s recently announced tariffs will hurt U.S. consumption.

  • Same-store sales -- a key gauge of a retailer’s performance -- rose 3% in the second quarter, trailing the average 3.2% projection, according to Consensus Metrix. The company now sees 4% growth for the full year, down from a previous forecast for 5%.
Key Insights

  • For years since the recession Home Depot has been riding the tide of rising home prices, since homeowners often spend more when they see their properties increasingly as an investment. But the overall home market has moderated from a few years ago, and now the 20% drop in the cost of lumber in the past year is adding to price pressure for Home Depot.
  • Tariffs remain a question mark for consumer-facing companies, challenged with rising costs for some goods as the Trump administration gets set to launch more duties on imports from China.
  • There’s about a two-quarter lag for orders, meaning the follow-through of slowing home building is still hitting companies like Home Depot that are closely tied to housing. Still, the company maintained its earnings per share forecast for the year.
Market Reaction

  • Home Depot fell as much as 0.5% in premarket trading Tuesday ahead of the announcement. The stock had advanced 21% this year through Monday’s close, exceeding gains in the S&P 500 Index.
Get More

  • For more on the results, click here.
  • For the company statement, click here.

Latest comments

If Trump wants any hope of avoiding a recession, he’ll be eating his tariffs before long.
Give these big corporation CEO'S a reason to cry and they will.Absolute nonsense.Juat like the Trickle Down effect o give these big corporations more breaks,dont pay taxes when u make billions and will creat jobs.Meanwhile Sams club openi ng employee less stores with out check out.Amazon hires part time ********wages.Even truck drivers feeling the squeeze.With self driving automated trucks.Wonder how they'll make money when you can't find jobs.Hey spunds lile the perfect time to open borders and let millions in to take jobs.
it's not truth you're believing but the narrative you've been fed. The true unemployment numbers are staggering... search shadow stats on line.
Participation rate is always factored in. 3.7 is not the real number but it is the gauge we use to compare it to the past. The measurements have not changed. Wake up.
Also, go ask around. Employers are not able to fill positions. That is the true measure.
love this fake n*e*w*s... what now? Does our lumber come from China or do we suddenly have massive tariffs against Canada? Home Depot is loosing against falling new home sales and remodeling.
Um. Yes we have. Trump added 20% tariffs on Canadian lumber in Nov 2017. It’s not a tariff war with just China. It’s a war with everyone. Home sale and remodeling are declining as a result.
stop it, really? 2017... so it's taken 2 years to affect lumber prices. Strange, this article isn't about Canadian tariffs. It's actually about deflation... people just aren't shopping like they once were and prices DROPPED 20%
so how come this is seen as positive? Lumber price is the best indicator to the sector. Low prices are BAD
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