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Goldman's trading business returns to former glory during pandemic stress

Published 10/14/2020, 07:33 AM
Updated 10/14/2020, 12:20 PM
© Reuters. The Goldman Sachs company logo is seen in the company's space on the floor of the NYSE in New York

By Anirban Sen and Matt Scuffham

(Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:GS) on Wednesday posted its best quarterly performance in a decade by some measures, as trading moved back into the limelight and its lack of a big consumer business switched from a curse to a blessing.

The Wall Street bank posted a quarterly return-on-equity of 17.5%, its highest since 2010. Investors closely track that figure because it shows how well a bank uses shareholder money to produce profits.

Goldman also boasted record earnings per share, beating analyst expectations by a wide margin. Its performance was driven in large part by a 29% jump in trading revenue, as clients responded to news about the coronavirus pandemic by shifting their portfolios.

While rivals including JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) & Co have also benefited from the markets boom this year, they are far more exposed to vulnerable consumers and businesses suffering from unemployment and pandemic lockdowns. Goldman's consumer bank is relatively tiny.

"Simply stunning results," Credit Suisse (SIX:CSGN) analyst Susan Roth Katzke said in a report.

Goldman's shares were up 0.6% by late morning as shares of other big lenders fell.

In the years leading up to the pandemic, Goldman's heavy exposure to trading and lack of exposure to traditional lending was viewed as a problem. The bank is in the middle of a business-model revamp orchestrated by Chief Executive David Solomon that includes building out its consumer bank, called Marcus, and adding services like retail wealth management.

Analysts say that is the right strategy for the long term, but, for now, Goldman's business mix is just right.

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"Goldman remains one of our favorite stocks," Oppenheimer analyst Chris Kotowski said. "Its loan portfolio is small and of very high quality compared to those of other large bank holding companies. It has minimal exposure to credit cards and small business, which we see as the biggest COVID-19 risks. But it has upside leverage to more active capital markets."

Goldman's $4.6 billion in quarterly trading revenue included gains across fixed income and equity markets, and a bigger increase than other Wall Street banks. The business accounted for 42% of Goldman's overall revenue, while consumer and wealth management represented 14%.

The bank set aside $278 million to cover loans that go bad, bringing its year-to-date total credit provisions to $2.8 billion. By comparison, traditional rivals JPMorgan, Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) and Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C) have set aside anywhere from $10 billion-20 billion this year.

Goldman's investment banking business also benefited from several high-profile IPOs including Snowflake, Rocket Companies and Dun & Bradstreet during the quarter.

Goldman expects the trends to continue through at least the end of the year, as markets remain volatile and its investment banking backlog has grown, Chief Financial Officer Stephen Scherr said on an analyst call.

"We can count on any number of issues to be the source of some volatility, whether it's the U.S. election, Libor transition, or the trajectory of COVID," he said.

Goldman has also picked up "meaningful" market share across its trading businesses, he said, part of the bank's strategy to target major corporations for hedging, Treasury and risk-management services.

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The bank's overall profit nearly doubled $3.5 billion from $1.8 billion a year ago. Earnings per share were a record $9.68, up from $4.79 a year earlier.

Analysts had expected a profit of $5.57 per share, on average, according to the IBES estimate from Refinitiv.

Revenue rose at all four of its business units, with total revenue up 30% to $10.8 billion. That was above the $9.5 billion consensus estimate.

Latest comments

Best results in a decade = top notch corruption and price manipulation or commodities
I used to work for GS as a trader.. and qiit because of the immorality and dishonesty of senior management and partners. The biggest crooks in the world are politicians like the Clintons, religious leaders and investment bankers.
You quit because you got bustted committing securities fraud and theft, and then fled the county to try to avoid charges.    Here's the proff:  https://www.offshorealert.com/GetDocument.aspx?id=12093
Goldman’s heavy exposure to trading and lack of exposure to traditional lending was viewed as a problem—-these manipulatorr, reason beingS&P and Nasdaq reaching record highs
Gs, bac, jpm, wfc, cs all manipulate the market legally by using news like Ruters, buy/sell recommendation. I.le/gall methods r front running and spooking trades. The last 2 if u know how to do it right, it is impposible to catch. Goldman n Citadel know how to.
Gs is front running all trades. They got caught many times.
when the fed is your biggest investor you cannot fail
It bangs of a regulatory investigation waiting to happen.
aaaaand stonks go up for no reason again... Can't wait for my shorts to print once this scam ends
But when? Have been telling myself the same thing for a while now...
 Million dollar question, my friend!
No news to sell yet so keep buying the rumors....
Those analysts must've set the bar so low you could trip over it.
I can at least try to believe believe G.S earnings since it's really not that exposed to consumer loans but my problem is with JPM loan loss provisions declining from $10bln to around $600mln !!!!insane!!!
The provision is already set aside. YTD they have about 19bln in provisions built up. Why do you think it's insane that only another 600m is set aside? They have over-provided by some distance. Goldman have set aside 3bln by comparison. This would indicate that JPM are being very conservative in their reporting.
Have you considered the reductions in the provisions because the metric your using (YTD) adds up all the provisions from 2019Q3 to date. So what JPM reported was that it's loan loss provisions of $10.5bln in Q2 2020 reduced to just $616mln a whopping 94% decline(remember the US is in recession). In addition the normal loan loss provision for JPM are usually between $1.5bln - $600mln( pre pandemic)
munchkin gives goldman advance notice of everything
Simple explanation: https://www.investopedia.com/news/26-goldman-sachs-alumni-who-run-world-gs/
People should be rioting over this.
These profits seem quite strange....I have a feeling they have gone too far here and will possibly attract some regulatory spotlight. They also have enough capital to manipulate markets....but who knows. It just seems abnormally high for profits.
 you scratch my back, i scratch yours.
Surprised?? look at those of JPM
Bad debts provision should increase as there is still unemployment lingering and small business still have a risk as most if the country still reel under pandemic. The decrease in provision seems like the mom & pop shops, salons, resturants, bakeriesare fully functionalThese banks were responsible for 2008/2009 scam, we will get over pandemic but god knows what scam these banks are onto now and i hope they dont imoact the economy they way they did in 2008/2009
partying like its 1999
Abnormal profits in abnormal times, how sustainable is the profit? Analyst average? what formula was used to "average" the estimates?
Great, while unemployment is through the roof, but as long as the SPX is doing good, we good right?
Exactly! I could make. record profits too if I had all the information before hand. GS has been cheating for 40 years. It is interesting have markets move up the day before a major announcement now that Munchkin is in charge. Disgusting !
Munchkins boys, what a surprise, all criminals
absolutely, upgrading and downgrading stocks to make money
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