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Wall St slips as labor market data fuels Fed worry

Published 01/19/2023, 06:22 AM
Updated 01/19/2023, 07:48 PM
© Reuters. Traders work at the post where Carvana Co. is traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 7, 2022.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

By Chuck Mikolajczak

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stock indexes closed lower on Thursday after data pointing to a tight labor market renewed concerns the Federal Reserve will continue its aggressive path of rate hikes that could lead the economy into a recession.

A report from the Labor Department showed weekly jobless claims were lower than expected, indicating the labor market remains solid despite the Fed's efforts to stifle demand for workers.

Expectations the central bank would further dial down the size of its interest rate increases at its policy announcement next month were unchanged by the report.

Investors have been looking for signs of weakness in the labor market as a key ingredient needed for the Fed to begin to slow its policy tightening measures.

GRAPHIC: Jobless claims (https://www.reuters.com/graphics/USA-STOCKS/gkvlwxkdepb/joblessclaims.png)

Other data showed manufacturing activity in the mid-Atlantic region was subdued again in January, while data from the commerce department confirmed the recession in the housing market persisted.

"What we are seeing is the market carving out a bottom in the uncertainty so the news is having less of an effect and what we are seeing today is really just a continuation of that," said Brad McMillan, chief investment officer for Commonwealth Financial Network, an independent broker-dealer in Waltham, Massachusetts.

"The fact we are not seeing more of a reaction says a lot of the bad news is out there."

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 252.4 points, or 0.76%, to 33,044.56, the S&P 500 lost 30.01 points, or 0.76%, to 3,898.85 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 104.74 points, or 0.96%, to 10,852.27.

Recent comments from Fed officials continue to highlight the disconnect between the central bank's view of its terminal rate and market expectations.

Boston Fed President Susan Collins echoed comments from other policymakers to support the case for interest rates to rise beyond 5%.

But stocks moved off their session lows after Fed vice chair Lael Brainard said the Fed is still "probing" for the level of interest rates that will be necessary to control inflation.

Markets, however, see the terminal rate at 4.89% by June and have largely priced in a 25-basis point rate hike from the U.S. central bank in February, with rate cuts in the back half of the year..

Both the S&P 500 and the Dow fell for a third straight session, their longest streak of declines in a month.

On the earnings front, Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Co declined 2.11% after warning of commodity costs pressuring profits, despite raising its full-year sales forecast.

Analysts now expect year-over-year earnings from S&P 500 companies to decline 2.8% for the fourth quarter, according to Refinitiv data, compared with a 1.6% decline in the beginning of the year.

Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX) closed 3.23% lower ahead of its results scheduled for release after the closing bell on Thursday. But the stock rebounded to gain 3.33% after posting subscriber gains for the quarter and the departure of co-founder Reed Hastings as chief executive to an executive chairman role.

© Reuters. Traders work at the post where Carvana Co. is traded on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 7, 2022.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.49-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.70-to-1 ratio favored decliners.

The S&P 500 posted 1 new 52-week highs and 3 new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 46 new highs and 33 new lows.

Latest comments

hi
China is now reopening.  These doom-and-gloomers need to factor that into the equation.
Oh, say it isn't so!
Stan's "record high credit card debt" should be understood/expected with US uptrending household net worth, not as "catastrophic"
First Last.. you're a joke. Record HIGH CC debt. 60% of Americans living paycheck to paycheck. Who's paying you??
  I never said "Record HIGH CC debt" is false.  Work on your reading comprehension.
People being triggered by Stan's post about "record high credit card debt" yesterday would've gone bearish and sitting on a lost now.
And this: The combination of record high credit card debt and record high credit card interest is nothing short of catastrophic for both the US economy, and the strapped consumer who has no choice but to keep buying on credit while hoping next month's bill will somehow not come. Unfortunately, it will and at some point in the very near future, this will also translate into massive loan losses for US consumer banks; that's when Powell will finally panic...
Bank reserves are still good.
 That's what Lehman said :-)
I remember!
Before blocking me, carlos 1st said  "labor force participation is down", & then said "it was up in 2021".  He's not saying it's been down in 2022 or 2023.  He thinks "is" means before 2020.
labor participation rate IS down. Reference Powell's statement
  My time frame is multi-months, multi-years.
And Dec 2022 participation rate is 62.3%, UP from 62.2% in Nov.
This morning it was recession fears. Later it is was rate hike concerns. Then it was labor market worries. When will it be FOGO? Fear of getting out.
If this thing can close in the red, the cat will really be dead. However, I suspect it'll be manipulated into the green.
Another criminal miracle in the laughingstock of the financial world.  There's no stopping the FRAUD and criminal manipulation is this absolute JOKE folks call a "market."  Assume the proper position America.
I agree. The market is a complete manipulation. Algos have made it easier. But it’s basically a group of guys saying let’s sell this market or let’s buy this market. And they all know when they are doing the move.
The ridiculous comments of the analysts make you laugh. They always use the same arguments to explain what they don't know
post- lunch pumping. I hope the retail traders are looking short term because they're getting their backsides handed to them otherwise
Only safe haven would be chinese and HK equities, post lockdown they have good upside recovery….but after a significant pullback
It's not safe.  The CCP rigs the game against foreign (& to lesser extend, domestic) investors.
Not going to fall until the big boys close thier longs. Too much buying pressure, which has to be relieved for capitulation to commence
agreed
The criminal, intraday miracle "recoveries" resume in earnest.  Only in the US Ponzi Scheme, greatest financial fraud in history, and biggest investment JOKE in the world.
the US equities are still way overvalued. Put your dollars in European stocks while dollar is still fairly strong against the euro. The EU stocks have already seen their worst of the bear market.
EU indices have made a stellar recovery for sure. But i suspect they will experince a significant downside too
I shorted US, and used the proceeds to invest in China. Great results so far.
close your longs on them while you can. If the waterfall occurs, they will drawdown too
When you realize you're doing this to yourself?
Good news is bad news today.
everyday since inflation soared
The big hand has no Rule in trading, yesterday they short cause weakness of consumer index, but today labor index strong. Why they short today? They are just cheaters.
With that big of a miss on initial jobless claims, the markets should've dropped a lot. Still pumping going on. Within the next 6-8 weeks the big flush is coming
rate hikes will happen till it meets inflation high nothing new or to worry about on the horizon
Talk to Jay Powell about it. He's not raising rates fast enough.
These writers have no clue. Just writing to fill a page. Tell us something we dont already know please!
what a joke every 5 min headlines by investing.com is being changed 😀😀😀😀
They want to sway you in the direction they want
The recession is inevitable and largely in place already. Too bad, some media outlets continue talking about “fears of recession” at time when most investors are supposed to be fully prepared already for the fully recessionary market.
Definitely in housing and ad spending!
what recession?
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