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Treasury yields rise, U.S. stocks hit new highs; dollar weakens

Published 07/08/2021, 10:35 PM
Updated 07/09/2021, 05:36 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An investor looks at an electronic board showing stock information at a brokerage house in Beijing, August 27, 2015. REUTERS/Jason Lee/File Photo

By Alwyn Scott

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Treasury yields extended their rise on Friday while the three major U.S. stock indexes rallied to record closing highs, as markets relaxed a bit from fears of a slowing pace of economic recovery from COVID-19 that dominated trading for much of the week.

In currencies, the safe-haven yen weakened 0.32% versus the greenback at 110.14 per dollar, while the dollar index fell 0.205%, and the euro edged up 0.24% to $1.1871.

Signs of risk relief were tempered, however, as spot gold, another safe-haven asset, logged its third straight weekly gain, rising 0.3% to $1,807.65 an ounce.

Concern about a faltering recovery, driven in part by the spread of the Delta variant of the coronavirus, had reduced risk appetite early in the week and prompted flight-to-safety bond buying, with some betting the reflation trade had stalled.

That action helped push 10-year U.S. government bond yields to a 4-1/2 month low on Thursday. Data released on Friday showed investors through July 6 were reducing short bond positions, which also weighed on yields.

Still, the yield on 10-year Treasury notes rose 7.7 basis points to 1.365% on Friday.

"The downward pressure in yields from continual buying just frankly ran out of steam ... at these levels," said Guy LeBas, chief fixed income strategist at Janney Montgomery Scott LLC in Philadelphia.

Stocks rose as financials and other economically focused sectors rallied from the selloff sparked by growth worries earlier in the week.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 448.23 points, or 1.3%, to 34,870.16, while the broad S&P 500 gained 48.73 points, or 1.13%, to 4,369.55.

The tech-focused Nasdaq Composite added 142.13 points, or 0.98%, to 14,701.92.

Investors will next gauge risk appetite by assessing results of auctions of $38 billion of 10-year Treasury notes on Monday, and $24 billion of 30-year bonds on Tuesday.

"If auction demand is a little bit squishy, especially at the 10-year sale, then we could see 1.45% in a hurry," LeBas said, referring to the effect on the 10-year Treasury yield if investors resume selling.

Concerns remain that vaccination alone won't squelch the virus enough to get economies back to normal.

Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) and partner BioNTech said they plan to ask regulators to authorize a booster dose of their vaccine, based on evidence of greater risk of infection six months after inoculation and the spread of the highly contagious Delta variant.

That has stoked fears "that in the fall, we might be shutting down again," said Tom di Galoma, managing director at Seaport Global Holdings in New York.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A security camera is seen next to signage outside of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, New York, U.S., June 28, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

Aligned against such fears: loose monetary policy from major central banks. But that support may vanish if inflation spikes.

Oil prices added to overnight gains as U.S inventories declined. U.S. crude was up 2.3% to $74.62 per barrel and Brent was at $75.58, up 1.97% on the day.

Latest comments

really
The polishitians will control you as long as you let them! stop the madness, don't comply!!
Remember when they ended lockdowns in Texas and Florida and ended mask mandates and Biden called it "neanderthal thinking" and places like California and New York remained closed with mask mandates and then Texas and Florida did so much worse than California and New York? Oh right, that never happened, Texas and Florida did just fine and California and New York have actually done worse. Not to mention crime is up massively - including massive spike in homicides - in blue states too.
Maybe. But, they have broader natural herd immunity. Who's better off in the long run?
Who believes this nonsense
The vacinated who claim to be “educated”
Only those poor educated Retrumpicans tha have been brainwashed by the biggest loser in America politics.
The SCAM continues
Finally some good news....crash may be near....need more and more of these recovery hopes shattered headlines fo meaningful change....Great Reset still possible....one must hope...
SMH
I know man it's about time....been SMH at this madness for 16 months now but reality will set on this soon...
There's just no reason why markets go up or down, this is just like listenining to the shaman's explanation on why it just rained
Today Covid Tomorrow North Korea The day after Russia... They already find an explanation
China's tougher regulation will hurt them in the short term but will greatly help them in the long run. This increased scrutiny of tech companies will help them become a more mainstream and respected tech global powerhouse.John KeffalasAnalystWall Street Research
China's tougher regulation will hurt them in the short term but will greatly help them in the long run. This increased scrutiny of tech companies will help them become a more mainstream and respected tech global powerhouse.John KeffalasAnalystWall Street Research
China's tougher regulation will hurt them in the short term but will greatly help them in the long run. This increased scrutiny of tech companies will help them become a more mainstream and respected tech global powerhouse.John KeffalasAnalystWall Street Research
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