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Wall Street recovers from Friday's rout, dollar falters

Published 06/20/2021, 10:04 PM
Updated 06/21/2021, 05:17 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An investor sits in front of a board showing stock information at a brokerage office in Beijing, China, December 7, 2018.  REUTERS/Thomas Peter/File Photo

By Chris Prentice and Ritvik Carvalho

WASHINGTON/LONDON (Reuters) -Wall Street rebounded on Monday and global stocks rose from a four-week low as investors banked on economic growth, while the U.S. dollar sank from Friday's 10-week high, boosting oil prices.

Yields on 10-year Treasuries reversed earlier losses after sliding to a four-month low of 1.354%. The benchmark note was still trading well below its recent mid-point range of about 1.6% after traders reacted to Federal Reserve expectations for a rate hike.

Shares of banks, energy firms and other companies that tend to be sensitive to the economy's fluctuations recovered after having fallen sharply since the Fed's meeting on Wednesday, when the central bank caught investors off guard by anticipating two quarter-percentage-point rate increases in 2023.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged, recovering from Friday's rout as it notching its strongest session in over three months to end 1.76% higher. The S&P 500 jumped 1.40% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.79%. (N)

"Inflation is not running out of control and in fact we think economic growth will come in better than expected," said Monica DiCenso, global investment specialist at J.P. Morgan Private Bank.

"If so, this suggests that equity multiples could be lower than people think and therefore we shouldn’t be scared about even adding to equities at these levels both in the United States and overseas."

The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.70% and MSCI's All Country World Index was up 0.72%, recovering some of Friday's losses after touching its lowest since May 24 earlier in the session.

Emerging market stocks lost 0.79%.

Earlier in the session, Asia shares were under pressure. Japan's Nikkei led the declines with an over 3% drop, dipping below 28,000 for the first time in a month. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1%.

While last week's Fed meeting took the focus, the message from G-7 leaders warranted investor attention, said Christopher Smart, chief global strategist at Barings Investment Institute.

    "The consensus at the G-7 leaders meeting (was) the world's richest economies will continue to spend, spend, spend on renewing infrastructure, on redressing inequality and on fighting climate change," Smart said.

The early debate over how the Federal Reserve could begin to withdraw some of its massive support for the economy was on display on Monday when two U.S. central bank officials discussed how the playbook used after the 2007-2009 recession may not apply this time.

The U.S. dollar index fell 0.427%, off Friday's high of 92.408, as investors weighed whether the Fed's stance will mean a pause in the greenback's bear trend.

Several Fed officials have speaking duties this week, including Chair Jerome Powell, who testifies before Congress on Tuesday. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde speaks before the European Parliament on Monday.

"We believe there is a limit to how much more hawkish the Fed can be given its inflation projections relative to the catch-up rates range," BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) analysts said in a note.

"Our bottom line: We believe the Fed’s new outlook will not translate into significantly higher policy rates any time soon."

The euro rose 0.47%.

Sterling recovered some ground, to trade up 1% after sliding to its lowest since April 16. [GBP/]

A stronger dollar has pressured cryptocurrencies, with bitcoin falling over 8.11%, while smaller rival ether lost 13.11%.

Forecasts for Brazilian growth, inflation and interest rates in 2021 rose to new highs, a survey of economists showed on Monday, following the central bank's third rate hike last week.

In commodities, crude oil rose amid a pause in talks to end U.S. sanctions on Iranian crude and a weaker dollar. Declines in the greenback's value make dollar-traded commodities less expensive to holders of other currencies. [O/R]

Brent crude futures traded at $74.89, up 1.88% on the day, as U.S. crude rose 2.65% to $73.54.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People are seen on Wall Street outside the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., March 19, 2021.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

Spot gold added 1.1% to trade at $1,782.80 an ounce, looking to snap a six-day losing streak, even as prices remained near their lowest since early May.

Copper steadied on Monday, up from its lowest level since mid-April, after moves by China to rein in commodities price rallies and the hawkish signals from the Fed. [MET/L]

Latest comments

data worsening every week, stock gamblers singing about economic growth
when these guys talk about index futures being up, it's not the same as pork, or copper futures. they trade on vast supply and demand, and it's very hard & expensive to manipulate. index futures, on the other hand, can be traded up on ultra light volume by the Chinese, or Tehran traders. Or, a small group of American traders. I don't think that always reflects real market conditions or US sentiment. perhaps what some people want, but that's not really bonafide supply and demand driven by long term value. it's just a hype bubble. they say simultaneously the s&p is in a bubble & trading at fair value. which is true? it all seems more like market manipulation. why does interest rates being temporarily low equate to massive overvaluation of both good to zombie corporations? why do they let the system get so out of whack, or have nothing set aside for times like this so stability can be maintained. who's driving? mr. toad?
imo, it seems the investment world has become little more than the movable props on the stage of a 24 hour soap drama show. I find it disturbing it's gotten that low. so few having seem to have no problem with it. experts say terrorism is defined as 3 things. destruction (social lifestyles), casualties (death of personal assets), and disruption (uncertainty & chaos). that sounds a lot like what the US stock market does to millions of US citizens on a regular basis. wasn't always that way, I read.
WHatever the dollar moves, OIL is always going up. FACT
yes, to ruin life of common people
Dollar Smile Theory
in FED we trust...!!!!!
Gold is the only asset to be in
Stick a fork in stocks… that goose is cooked!!!
Treasury yields are falling to stabilize the market. The writing is on the wall and they're making matters worse by delaying the inevitable
I read two weeks ago that hedge funds were hoarding cash in anticipation of rising interest rates. Seems they were right. The selling now is not panic selling, yet. Professionals are selling to take profits as the charts for the broad indices are in established downtrends. Small caps broke the positive trendline since March 2020. The 1 month chart looks awful.
any true reflection comment on mk they will block it. wasting time to post...
Yes, they don’t like truth seekers here. Chào buổi sáng
Dang, Nikkei though... wow
Trash headline. Nothing to do with FED. Has everything to do with China's crackdown on freedoms over the weekend and that move is reverberating across Asia and the Orient.
this doesn't make any sense
Nonscence
The FED has everything it needs  to buy up distressed stock. There is no real reason to panic . Its a win win for the investor.
The FED needs to unwind their ballooned balance sheet…
that's impossible without a depression.
They should have thoight of that before. I swear, their policies are written by people with zero grasp of economic cycles.
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